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FL-27

Florida District 27

Tue, Nov 3 · Sitting member, elected on the old lines Maria Elvira Salazar Republican since Jan 2021

Eliott RodriguezDemocratic

Eliott Rodriguez 46Maria Elvira Salazar 47

Only 1 poll in the last 7 weeksNewest poll · Tulchin Research, field dates Sep 8 to Sep 13, released Sep 18, 600 likely voters, partisan (D), per VoteHubPoll sponsored by House Majority PACPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Maria Elvira SalazarRepublican · IncumbentAge 65 · 5 years in Congress

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Florida District 27: Eliott Rodriguez vs Maria Elvira Salazar

Preview card: Florida District 27: Eliott Rodriguez vs Maria Elvira Salazar

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Lines for 2026
Redrawn. 1.6% of residents were in a different district in 2024
On the 2026 ballot
2 candidates

All Florida districts

Polls over time

2 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
40%50%60%May 2026JulSepNovNov 3Blueprint Polling, Mar 6 to Mar 8: Rodriguez 43Tulchin Research, Sep 8 to Sep 13: Rodriguez 46Blueprint Polling, Mar 6 to Mar 8: Salazar 46Tulchin Research, Sep 8 to Sep 13: Salazar 47Salazar47Rodriguez46

All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (2)

No polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 43 to 46% (D) and 46 to 47% (R) (newest 2 polls on the chart)

2 of the 4 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSampleRodriguezSalazar
Tulchin ResearchSep 8 to Sep 13Sep 18600 likely voters4647
Blueprint PollingMar 6 to Mar 8Apr 27451 registered voters4346
Polls left off the chart (2 of 4)
Polls for this race that are not on the chart, with the reason for each
PollWhy it is not on the chart
Blueprint PollingMar 6 to Mar 8Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists María Elvira Salazar, Robin Peguero)
Kaplan StrategiesJul 1Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists María Elvira Salazar, Alex Fornino)

Side by side

Left column: RodriguezRight column: Salazar

Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
$1.6M
$2.5M
Cash on hand
$622K
$1.7M
Donor-based spectrum
LiberalCentristConservativeSalazarNo published score for Rodriguez
Races won and lost
None on file
3-1
Years since first win on file
Not available
5
Age on Election Day
Not available
65

Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.

How these are counted

Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Rodriguez: $1,567,393 received, $621,791 cash on hand. Salazar: $2,519,401 received, $1,680,478 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Source: dos.elections.myflorida.com, dated Oct 28

All Florida districts

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Florida District 27 selected among its state's congressional districts, colored by the 2024 US House resultFlorida District 5: John H. Rutherford (R), Republican by 26.2 points, 2024Florida District 27: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 6: Michael Waltz (R), Republican by 33.0 points, 2024Florida District 28: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 7: Cory Mills (R), Republican by 13.0 points, 2024Florida District 8: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 9: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 10: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 11: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 12: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 13: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 14: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 15: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 16: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 17: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 18: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 19: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 20: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 21: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 22: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 1: Matt Gaetz (R), Republican by 32.0 points, 2024Florida District 23: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 2: Neal P. Dunn (R), Republican by 23.2 points, 2024Florida District 24: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 3: Kat Cammack (R), Republican by 23.2 points, 2024Florida District 25: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 26: New lines for 2026, old result not shownFlorida District 4: Aaron Bean (R), Republican by 14.6 points, 2024
2024 US House margin
  • D 15+ pts
  • D 5 to 15 pts
  • D under 5 pts
  • R under 5 pts
  • R 5 to 15 pts
  • R 15+ pts
  • Other winner
  • No data
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Official results for Florida

History (7 elections for this seat)

2012 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

Florida District 27 was redrawn for 2026, so every row here ran on older lines and covers different territory. The map in force, by state

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Florida District 27, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/fl/congress/27. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

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Sources

Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

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DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain)Data as of Oct 28, 2026