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MI-7

Michigan District 7

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Tom Barrett Republican since Jan 2025

Tom BarrettRepublican · IncumbentAge 45 · 1 year in Congress

Tom Barrett 45William Lawrence 53

Only 1 poll in the last 7 weeksNewest poll · Emerson College, field dates Oct 12 to Oct 14, released Oct 22, 314 likely votersPoll sponsored by Poll VaultPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

William LawrenceDemocratic
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Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.

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Michigan District 7: William Lawrence vs Tom Barrett

Preview card: Michigan District 7: William Lawrence vs Tom Barrett

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Last election
Tom Barrett (Republican) won by 3.7 points, 2024
Margin since 2022
9.1 points toward Republicans
On the 2026 ballot
3 candidates

All Michigan districts

Polls over time

2 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
40%50%60%Sep 2026OctNovNov 3Global Strategy Group, Aug 11 to Aug 13: Lawrence 49Emerson College, Oct 12 to Oct 14: Lawrence 53Global Strategy Group, Aug 11 to Aug 13: Barrett 47Emerson College, Oct 12 to Oct 14: Barrett 45Lawrence53Barrett45

All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (2)

1 poll released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 49 to 53% (D) and 45 to 47% (R) (newest 2 polls on the chart)

2 of the 4 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSampleLawrenceBarrett
Emerson CollegeOct 12 to Oct 14Oct 22314 likely voters5345
Global Strategy GroupAug 11 to Aug 13Aug 20500 likely voters4947
Polls left off the chart (2 of 4)
Polls for this race that are not on the chart, with the reason for each
PollWhy it is not on the chart
Public Policy PollingOct 27 to Oct 28Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Tom Barrett, Matt Maasdam)
Public Policy PollingOct 27 to Oct 28Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Tom Barrett, Bridget Brink)

Side by side

Left column: BarrettRight column: Lawrence

Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
$8.2M
$4.2M
Cash on hand
$1.0M
$629K
Donor-based spectrum
LiberalCentristConservativeBarrettNo published score for Lawrence
Races won and lost
4-1
None on file
Years since first win on file
1
Not available
Age on Election Day
45
Not available

Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.

How these are counted

Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Barrett: $8,238,468 received, $1,039,763 cash on hand. Lawrence: $4,160,041 received, $628,966 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.

What changed in this race

Newest first

Polls via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

  1. NEW POLLMichigan District 7

    Michigan District 7: William Lawrence 53, Tom Barrett 45

    Emerson College, Oct 12 to Oct 14, 314 likely voters

All changes

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Source: mi-boe.entellitrak.com, dated Oct 28

Shift since 2022: 9.1 points toward Republicans (Democratic by 5.4 in 2022, Republican by 3.7 in 2024). Changed party, D to R.

All Michigan districts

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2024 US House margin
  • D 15+ pts
  • D 5 to 15 pts
  • D under 5 pts
  • R under 5 pts
  • R 5 to 15 pts
  • R 15+ pts
  • Other winner
  • No data
Show these districts as a list (13)
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Official results for Michigan

History (25 elections for this seat)

1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Michigan District 7.

Download and cite

Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Michigan District 7, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/mi/congress/7. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

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Sources

Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

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DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Photo creditsData as of Oct 28, 2026