Ohio District 15
Tue, Nov 3 · Sitting member, elected on the old lines Mike Carey Republican since Nov 2021
Mike Carey 45Don Leonard 48
Only 1 poll in the last 7 weeksNewest poll · Hart Research Associates, field dates Oct 9 to Oct 12, released Oct 21, 503 likely voters, partisan (D), per VoteHubPoll sponsored by House Majority PACPolls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub
Show all 3 candidates on the ballot
- Don LeonardDemocratic
- Mike CareyIncumbentRepublican
- Brennan BarringtonLibertarian
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
- Lines for 2026
- Redrawn. 14.7% of residents were in a different district in 2024
- On the 2026 ballot
- 3 candidates
Polls over time
3 polls, through Election Day Nov 3All polls. Polls updated Oct 30, 7:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (3)
1 poll released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 40 to 48% (D) and 45% (R) (newest 3 polls on the chart)
3 of the 3 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | Leonard | Carey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates | Oct 9 to Oct 12 | Oct 21 | 503 likely voters | 48 | 45 |
| Hart Research Associates | Sep 22 to Sep 24 | Sep 29 | 500 likely voters | 46 | 45 |
| Hart Research Associates | Jun 23 to Jun 25 | Jul 7 | 550 likely voters | 40 | 45 |
Side by side
Left column: CareyRight column: Leonard
- Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
- $4.2M
- $1.3M
- Cash on hand
- $370K
- $98K
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeCareyNo published score for Leonard
- Races
- Won 2 of 4
- None listed
- Years since first win
- 5
- Not available
- Age on Election Day
- 55
- Not available
Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.
How these are counted
Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Carey: $4,184,981 received, $370,343 cash on hand. Leonard: $1,329,844 received, $97,707 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Don LeonardDemocratic
- Mike CareyIncumbentRepublican
- Brennan BarringtonLibertarian
Source: liveresults.ohiosos.gov, dated Oct 29
All Ohio districts
- D 15+ pts
- D 5 to 15 pts
- D under 5 pts
- R under 5 pts
- R 5 to 15 pts
- R 15+ pts
- Other winner
- No data
Show these districts as a list (15)
- Ohio District 1· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 2· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 3· Joyce Beatty (D), Democratic by 41.4 points, 2024
- Ohio District 4· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 5· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 6· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 7· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 8· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 9· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 10· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 11· Shontel M. Brown (D), Democratic by 58.7 points, 2024
- Ohio District 12· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 13· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 14· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Ohio District 15· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
Map settings
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History (25 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 347,749
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
- District map
- Older district map (2022 to 2025)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMike CareyWon Republican 196,33856.5% DemocraticAdam Miller Democratic 151,41143.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 251,251
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
- District map
- Older district map (2022 to 2025)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMike CareyWon Republican 143,11257.0% DemocraticGary Josephson Democratic 108,13943.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 383,361
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSteve StiversWon Republican 243,10363.4% DemocraticJoel Newby Democratic 140,18336.6% Shane Hoffman Write-in 750.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 292,443
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSteve StiversWon Republican 170,59358.3% DemocraticRick Neal Democratic 116,11239.7% LibertarianJohnathan Miller Libertarian 5,7382.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 336,807
- Election day
- November 8, 2016
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2016, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSteve StiversWon Republican 222,84766.2% DemocraticScott Wharton Democratic 113,96033.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 194,621
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSteve StiversWon Republican 128,49666.0% DemocraticScott Wharton Democratic 66,12534.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 333,462
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSteve StiversWon Republican 205,27461.6% DemocraticPat Lang Democratic 128,18838.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 220,596
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSteve StiversWon Republican 119,47154.2% DemocraticMary Jo Kilroy Democratic 91,07741.3% LibertarianWilliam J Kammerer Libertarian 6,1162.8% OtherDavid Ryon Other 3,8871.8% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 450.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 303,838
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMary Jo KilroyWon Democratic 139,58445.9% RepublicanSteve Stivers Republican 137,27245.2% LibertarianMark Michael Noble Libertarian 14,0614.6% IndependentDon Elijah Eckhart Independent 12,9154.3% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 60.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 220,567
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDeborah PryceWon Republican 110,71450.2% DemocraticMary Jo Kilroy Democratic 109,65949.7% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 1940.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 277,435
- Election day
- November 2, 2004
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2004, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDeborah PryceWon Republican 166,52060.0% DemocraticMark P Brown Democratic 110,91540.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 162,479
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDeborah PryceWon Republican 108,19366.6% DemocraticMark Brown Democratic 54,28633.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 232,297
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Ohio District 15, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDeborah PryceWon Republican 156,79267.5% DemocraticBill Buckel Democratic 64,80527.9% LibertarianScott T Smith Libertarian 10,7004.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 173,176
- Election day
- November 3, 1998
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1998, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDeborah PryceWon Republican 113,84665.7% DemocraticAdam Clay Miller Democratic 49,33428.5% LibertarianKevin Nestor Libertarian 9,9965.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 221,441
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDeborah PryceWon Republican 156,77670.8% DemocraticCliff Arnebeck Jr Democratic 64,66529.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 159,696
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDeborah PryceWon Republican 112,91270.7% DemocraticBill Buckel Democratic 46,48029.1% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 3040.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 250,205
- Election day
- November 3, 1992
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1992, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanDeborah PryceWon Republican 110,39044.1% DemocraticRichard Cordray Democratic 94,90737.9% IndependentLinda Reidelbach Independent 44,90617.9% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 20.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 167,919
- Election day
- November 6, 1990
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanChalmers P WylieWon Republican 99,25159.1% DemocraticThomas V Erney Democratic 68,51040.8% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 1580.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 205,866
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanChalmers P WylieWon Republican 154,69475.1% DemocraticMark S Froehlich Democratic 51,17224.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 153,495
- Election day
- November 4, 1986
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1986, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanChalmers P WylieWon Republican 97,74563.7% DemocraticDavid L Jackson Democratic 55,75036.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 207,181
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanChalmers P WylieWon Republican 148,31171.6% DemocraticDuane Jager Democratic 58,87028.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 157,887
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanChalmers P WylieWon Republican 104,67866.3% DemocraticGreg Kostelac Democratic 47,07029.8% LibertarianSteve Kender Libertarian 6,1393.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 177,733
- Election day
- November 4, 1980
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1980, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanChalmers P WylieWon Republican 129,02572.6% DemocraticTerry Freeman Democratic 48,70827.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 128,023
- Election day
- November 7, 1978
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanChalmers P WylieWon Republican 91,02371.1% DemocraticHenry W Eckhart Democratic 37,00028.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 167,371
- Election day
- November 2, 1976
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, Ohio District 15, 1976, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanChalmers P WylieWon Republican 109,63065.5% DemocraticMike McGee Democratic 57,74134.5%
1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source
Ohio District 15 was redrawn for 2026, so every row here ran on older lines and covers different territory. The map in force, by state
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Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). Ohio District 15, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/oh/congress/15. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
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<p style="font-size:13px">Data: <a href="https://www.electionwrld.com">Election Wrld</a>, CC BY 4.0</p>Sources
Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain)Data as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 29, 2026)