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Oregon Governor

Tue, Nov 3 · Governor Tina Kotek Democratic since Jan 2023

Christine DrazanRepublicanAge 54

Christine Drazan 44Tina Kotek 46

Only 1 poll in the last 7 weeksNewest poll · DHM Research, field dates Sep 24 to Oct 1, released Oct 23, 549 likely votersPoll sponsored by The Oregonian/OregonLivePolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Tina KotekDemocratic · IncumbentAge 60 · 4 years in politics
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Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.

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Oregon Governor: Tina Kotek vs Christine Drazan

Preview card: Oregon Governor: Tina Kotek vs Christine Drazan

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Polls over time

4 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
30%40%50%Mar 2026MayJulSepNovNov 3FM3 Research, Jan 26 to Feb 4: Kotek 45DHM Research, Sep 11: Kotek 43DHM Research, Sep 24 to Oct 1: Kotek 46DHM Research, Sep 24 to Oct 1: Kotek 46FM3 Research, Jan 26 to Feb 4: Drazan 40DHM Research, Sep 11: Drazan 45DHM Research, Sep 24 to Oct 1: Drazan 44DHM Research, Sep 24 to Oct 1: Drazan 44Kotek46Drazan44

Each dot is one published poll. All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (4)

1 poll released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 43–46% (D) and 40–45% (R) (newest 4 polls on the chart)

Each dot is a poll with both names, 4 of the 4 for this race. Dots and lines follow the field end date. The table adds the day each poll was released.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSampleKotekDrazan
DHM ResearchSep 24 to Oct 1Oct 23549 likely voters4644
DHM ResearchSep 24 to Oct 1Oct 8549 likely voters4644
DHM ResearchSep 11Sep 16600 likely voters4345
FM3 ResearchJan 26 to Feb 4Apr 271,065 likely voters4540

Side by side

Drazan left, Kotek right
Donor-based spectrum
LiberalCentristConservativeDrazanKotek
Record
2-0
9-1
Years in politics
Not available
4
Age on Election Day
54
60
How these are counted

The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Record is wins and losses in the races in our results files, the same count as each profile.

What changed in this race

Newest first
  1. NEW POLLOregon Governor

    Oregon Governor: Tina Kotek 46, Christine Drazan 44

    DHM Research, Sep 24 to Oct 1, 549 likely voters · via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

All changes

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Source: sos.oregon.gov (PDF), dated Sep 24

Vote in Oregon

Trouble voting? Election Protection hotline: 866-OUR-VOTE. A nonpartisan coalition of civil-rights and voting-rights groups, not a government service. 866ourvote.org

Official results for Oregon

History (6 elections for this seat)

All rows: Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows), retrieved Oct 28, 2026

Governor races before 2006 are not loaded yet.

Data notes (15)
  • Source priority per race: (1) a state election office's own certified results parsed in scripts/data/gov_results.py (NJ Division of Elections PDFs, Virginia Department of Elections, the Civera ElectionStats databases run by CT, VA, VT, CO, NY, NM and SC, the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, the NC State Board of Elections archive); (2) the open Cha/Kuriwaki/Snyder 'Candidates in American General Elections' file (Harvard Dataverse, CC0), which copies each state's statement of vote; (3) OpenElections county files and the 2020 Dataverse official-results tables, used only to add named candidates the Dataverse file omitted and to add the write-in count; (4) MEDSL precinct sums, used the same way and only when their Democratic and Republican totals agree with the Dataverse rows to 0.3 percent. Each race's source is listed in web/data/sources/gov-results.json.
  • total is the sum of the candidate rows in the file, and pct is votes divided by that total, rounded to one decimal. Blank, void, over and under votes are never in total. Write-in votes are in total as a 'Write-ins' row (writein: true) wherever a source reports them: the official databases, OpenElections, and MEDSL precinct returns. The Dataverse file leaves write-ins out, so MEDSL's write-in sum is added when MEDSL's count for every named candidate equals the Dataverse count exactly (for example AK 2022, 784 write-ins, and AL 2022, 9,432, both matching the state's statement of vote). Each race's source ids are in the race's source and sourceAlso fields and in the gov-results-<st> entry of sources.json.
  • 151 races not taken from a state's own results file have no write-in row. Either the state counted no write-ins, or the sources on file leave them out (MEDSL's precinct sums did not match every named candidate exactly, or MEDSL has no file for that year); where they were left out, total is short by the write-ins and pct can run slightly above the state's printed percentage: AK 2006, AK 2010, AK 2014, AL 2006, AL 2010, AL 2014, AL 2018, AR 2006, AR 2014, AR 2018, AR 2022, AZ 2002, AZ 2014, AZ 2022, CA 2014, CA 2018, CA 2022, DE 2008, DE 2012, DE 2016, DE 2020, DE 2024, GA 2014, GA 2018, HI 2006, HI 2010, HI 2014, HI 2018, HI 2022, IA 2006, IA 2010, IA 2014, ID 1998, ID 2006, ID 2010, ID 2022, IL 2010, IL 2014, IL 2018, IN 2004, IN 2008, IN 2012, IN 2016, IN 2020, KS 2006, KS 2010, KS 2014, KS 2018, KS 2022, KY 2007, KY 2011, KY 2015, KY 2019, LA 2007, LA 2011, LA 2015, LA 2019, LA 2023, MD 2006, MD 2014, MD 2022, ME 2006, ME 2010, ME 2014, ME 2022, MI 2006, MI 2010, MI 2014, MI 2022, MN 2006, MN 2010, MN 2014, MO 2020, MS 2007, MS 2011, MS 2015, MS 2019, MS 2023, MT 2000, MT 2004, MT 2008, MT 2012, MT 2016, MT 2020, MT 2024, ND 2008, NE 2006, NE 2010, NE 2014, NE 2018, NE 2022, NH 2008, NH 2010, NH 2012, NH 2014, NH 2024, NM 2010, NV 2006, NV 2010, NV 2014, NV 2018, NV 2022, OH 2014, OH 2018, OK 2006, OK 2010, OK 2014, OK 2018, OK 2022, OR 2006, OR 2010, OR 2014, OR 2018, OR 2022, PA 2002, PA 2006, PA 2010, PA 2014, PA 2018, PA 2022, RI 2006, RI 2010, RI 2014, SC 2006, SD 2006, SD 2010, SD 2014, SD 2018, SD 2022, TX 2014, TX 2018, TX 2022, UT 2008, UT 2010, UT 2012, UT 2020, WA 2008, WA 2012, WA 2016, WI 2006, WI 2010, WI 2014, WI 2018, WV 2008, WV 2011, WV 2012, WV 2016, WV 2020, WV 2024, WY 2002, WY 2006.
  • party is D, R, I, L, G, O or N from the party label in the source; party_label keeps the source's wording. The Dataverse file prints short labels (Lbt, Grn, Const, DFL, NPA); those are expanded to Libertarian, Green, Constitution, Democratic-Farmer-Labor and No Party Affiliation. Fusion candidates (NY, CT, SC, and the Democratic-Progressive line in VT) are one candidate with all of their ballot lines added together.
  • Names: the Dataverse file stores 'LAST, FIRST MIDDLE (NICKNAME), SUFFIX'; the display name uses the nickname when there is one (Josh Shapiro, Bob Riley) and otherwise the given names. All-caps source names were title-cased by rule and can be wrong for internal capitals (DiGiulio, DeWine). Official lists that print only surnames (NJ 1997; MA tickets from 2010 on) take the full name from the Dataverse row of the same race where the surname and party match, otherwise stay surname-only.
  • incumbent is true or false only for races built from the Dataverse file (it carries an incumbency code; code 3, a governor who succeeded to the office, is treated as incumbent). It is null for official-source races and for candidates added from OpenElections or MEDSL.
  • Louisiana uses an open primary with a runoff. One race per election is stored: the round that decided it (the October primary when someone won more than 50 percent, otherwise the November runoff, marked runoff:true). Exact dates for those rounds come from the Dataverse/official files where present and are set in the script otherwise (LA_DATES); check them before showing a date.
  • Recall elections (Wisconsin June 2012, California September 2021) are not included. Only regular and special general elections for the office are stored; primaries and runoff primaries are not.
  • scripts/data/federal_results.py, if it is re-run, rewrites every web/data/results/governor/{ST}.json to []. Run scripts/data/gov_results.py after it, or remove build_governor() from that script.
  • OR: No governor general-election result in this file for 4 of 9 expected election years between 1990 and 2025: 1990, 1994, 1998, 2002. No open or official bulk source was found and parsed for them yet; they are gaps, not zeroes.
  • 2006: minor-party counts differ slightly between the Dataverse file (kept) and OpenElections / the 2020 Dataverse tables; check against the official canvass: Richard Morley 16,770 vs 16,798; Joe Keating 19,987 vs 20,030; Mary Starrett 50,134 vs 50,229
  • 2014: candidates added from OpenElections county files: Aaron Auer
  • Candidate name is the sitting governor's officials-file spelling for 16 rows (the race's winner, same state, race within the governor's tenure, same surname and a compatible first name). Text encoding and casing are repaired by scripts/data/names.py.
  • Governor races earlier than the first year listed are not loaded yet for 50 states (AK from 2006; AL from 2006; AR from 2002; AZ from 2002; CA from 2002; CO from 1990; CT from 1990; DE from 2008; FL from 1990; GA from 2002; HI from 2006; IA from 2002; ID from 1994; IL from 2006; IN from 2004; KS from 2006; KY from 2007; LA from 2007; MA from 1990; MD from 2006; ME from 2006; MI from 2006; MN from 2006; MO from 2008; MS from 2007; MT from 2000; NC from 1992; ND from 2008; NE from 2006; NH from 2006; NJ from 1993; NM from 2002; NV from 2006; NY from 1994; OH from 2002; OK from 2006; OR from 2006; PA from 2002; RI from 2006; SC from 2006; SD from 2006; TN from 2002; TX from 1994; UT from 2008; VA from 1993; VT from 1990; WA from 2008; WI from 2006; WV from 2000; WY from 2002). The sources on file start later; nothing was filled in from memory. Each governor page says so under History.
  • 1 duplicate candidate rows merged: a 0-vote placeholder row beside the real row is dropped. governor/CO 2022 Paul Noël Fiorino

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Governor of Oregon. https://www.electionwrld.com/or/governor. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

Sources

Sources

Make your pick in the map maker

DataState data (JSON)Sources: Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows), VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), DIME (ODC-BY), Photo of Tina Kotek: Tony Miller, Public domain, Photo of Christine Drazan: MetroEast Community Media, CC BY 3.0 (cropped)Data as of Oct 28, 2026

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