Oregon State House District 21
Tue, Nov 3 · Represented by Kevin Mannix Republican · Member list as of Oct 28
No published poll names both candidates.Last result · 2024 general: Kevin Mannix (R) 51.8, Virginia Stapleton (D) 48.0
- Last election
- Kevin Mannix (Republican) won by 3.8 points, 2024
- On the 2026 ballot
- 2 candidates
Side by side
Left column: MannixRight column: Welsh
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeMannixNo published score for Welsh
- Races
- Won 7 of 12
- None listed
- Years since first win
- 4
- Not available
How these are counted
The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Michael WelshDemocratic(Democrat, Working Families)
- Kevin MannixIncumbentRepublican
Source: sos.oregon.gov (PDF), dated Sep 24
All State House districts
- Democratic
- Republican
- Independent
- Nonpartisan
- More than one party
- No member listed
Map settings
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History (29 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 28,795
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
- District map
- Older district map (2022 to 2024)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanKevin MannixWon Republican 14,92451.8% DemocraticVirginia Stapleton Democratic 13,82248.0% Scattered write-ins Write-in 490.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 25,525
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
- District map
- Older district map (2022)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanKevin MannixWon Republican 13,11551.4% DemocraticRamiro Navarro Jr. Democratic 11,64645.6% LibertarianMichael Morrow Libertarian 7382.9% Scattered write-ins Write-in 260.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 27,127
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2021)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBrian ClemWon(incumbent) Democratic 16,43360.6% RepublicanJack L. Esp Republican 10,61039.1% Scattered write-ins Write-in 840.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 21,072
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2021)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBrian ClemWon(incumbent) Democratic 13,44063.8% RepublicanJack L. Esp Republican 7,63236.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 22,177
- Election day
- November 8, 2016
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2021)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2016, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBrian ClemWon(incumbent) Democratic 12,31355.5% RepublicanDoug Rodgers Republican 8,33837.6% IndependentAlvin M. Klausen Jr. Independent 1,4206.4% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1060.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 16,392
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2021)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBrian ClemWon(incumbent) Democratic 10,52764.2% RepublicanBeverly J. Wright Republican 5,86535.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 19,527
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2021)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBrian ClemWon(incumbent) Democratic 11,54259.1% RepublicanDan Farrington Republican 7,22737.0% IndependentMarvin Sannes Independent 7583.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 15,581
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2011)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBrian ClemWon(incumbent) Democratic 9,02857.9% RepublicanMarvin Sannes Republican 6,49441.7% Scattered write-ins Write-in 590.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 14,786
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2011)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBrian ClemWon(incumbent) Democratic 14,786100.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 15,623
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2011)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBrian L. ClemWon Democratic 9,59861.4% RepublicanBilly Dalto(incumbent) Republican 6,02538.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 21,601
- Election day
- November 2, 2004
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2011)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2004, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanBilly DaltoWon(incumbent) Republican 11,21351.9% DemocraticClaudia L. Howells Democratic 10,38848.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 16,275
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2011)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanBilly DaltoWon Republican 8,59352.8% DemocraticMike Swaim Democratic 7,68247.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 11,300
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2001)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRandy LeonardWon(incumbent) Democratic 11,300100.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 10,659
- Election day
- November 3, 1998
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2001)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1998, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRandy LeonardWon Democratic 6,88864.6% RepublicanMichael Cargill Republican 3,77135.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 11,539
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2001)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLonnie RobertsWon(incumbent) Democratic 11,539100.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 11,976
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2001)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLonnie RobertsWon(incumbent) Democratic 8,92274.5% IndependentJohnathan Lars Nashlund Independent 3,05425.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 12,447
- Election day
- November 3, 1992
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2001)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1992, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLonnie RobertsWon(incumbent) Democratic 12,43199.9% OtherReed F. Miller Other 160.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 13,741
- Election day
- November 6, 1990
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1991)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLonnie RobertsWon(incumbent) Democratic 13,741100.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 15,185
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1991)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLonnie RobertsWon(incumbent) Democratic 15,10599.5% Scattered write-ins Write-in 800.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 16,041
- Election day
- November 4, 1986
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1991)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1986, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLonnie RobertsWon(incumbent) Democratic 10,83567.5% RepublicanJim Worthington Republican 5,19832.4% Scattered write-ins Write-in 80.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 13,621
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1991)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLonnie RobertsWon(incumbent) Democratic 13,51699.2% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1050.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 15,073
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1991)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLonnie RobertsWon(incumbent) Democratic 9,58963.6% RepublicanDavid A. Bunnell Republican 5,47236.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 120.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 10,157
- Election day
- November 4, 1980
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1981)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1980, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLonnie RobertsWon Democratic 10,10799.5% Scattered write-ins Write-in 500.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 10,418
- Election day
- November 7, 1978
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1981)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticSusan C. PishaWon Democratic 6,41361.6% RepublicanCarol Moore Republican 3,95938.0% Scattered write-ins Write-in 460.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 12,362
- Election day
- November 2, 1976
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1981)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1976, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRick GustafsonWon(incumbent) Democratic 8,87271.8% RepublicanDavid A. Bunnell Republican 3,48928.2% Scattered write-ins Write-in 10.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 9,984
- Election day
- November 4, 1974
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1981)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1974, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRichard GustafsonWon Democratic 7,50075.1% RepublicanDavid A. Bunnell Republican 2,47924.8% Scattered write-ins Write-in 50.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 12,023
- Election day
- November 7, 1972
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1981)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1972, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticHoward WillitsWon(incumbent) Democratic 8,30969.1% RepublicanJames P. Holson Republican 3,71130.9% Scattered write-ins Write-in 30.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 15,265
- Election day
- November 3, 1970
- District map
- Older district map (1962 to 1971)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1970, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSam JohnsonWon(incumbent) Republican 8,90958.4% DemocraticWalter A. Ponsford Democratic 6,35341.6% Scattered write-ins Write-in 30.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 14,535
- Election day
- November 5, 1968
- District map
- Older district map (1962 to 1971)
Oregon House of Representatives District 21, 1968 to 2024, 1968, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSam JohnsonWon(incumbent) Republican 14,48899.7% Scattered write-ins Write-in 470.3%
- 2024: MEDSL 2024 official precinct returns (individual_states zips), retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source
- 1968 to 2022: State Legislative Election Returns, 1967-2022 (Carl Klarner, Harvard Dataverse), retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by Carl Klarner (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns; not an official source
Last contest in this district on file: 2024.
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Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). Oregon State House District 21, election results 1968 to 2024. https://www.electionwrld.com/or/house/21. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
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<iframe src="https://www.electionwrld.com/embed/or/house/21" title="Oregon House of Representatives District 21" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:13px">Data: <a href="https://www.electionwrld.com">Election Wrld</a>, CC BY 4.0</p>Sources
Sources: Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; Open Civic Data division identifiers (census_autogenerated us_sldl/us_sldu and openstates state files); also (sld-recent.json): Open Civic Data division identifiers (country-us) (CC0 (repository); also (sld-recent.json): CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; Open States people (current) CSVs (CC0-1.0 (Open States people data)), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by Open States volunteers and staff (rosters from state legislature sites) from official returns, not an official source; MEDSL 2024 official precinct returns (individual_states zips) (Not stated in the GitHub repository (an earlier label said "MIT (repo)", which the repository does not support). MEDSL's Harvard Dataverse records are CC0 1.0, but these GitHub files were not checksum-matched to the Dataverse files, so CC0 is not claimed for them.), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; State Legislative Election Returns, 1967-2022 (Carl Klarner, Harvard Dataverse) (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by Carl Klarner (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns, not an official source.
District id: ocd-division/country:us/state:or/sldl:21
DataState data (JSON)Sources: State Legislative Election Returns, 1967-2022 (Carl Klarner, Harvard Dataverse), DIME (ODC-BY), MEDSL 2024 official precinct returnsData as of Oct 28, 2026