2026 polls
The newest poll in each race, as the pollster published it. We do not adjust or rate polls.
Filter · US Senate, Texas
60 polls · Texas
Back to newest in each raceShowing 1 to 50, newest first.
| Field dates | Race | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 to Oct 28, 2026 | Texas US Senate | ActiVote | 400 Likely voters |
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| Oct 26 to Oct 28, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Quantus Insights | 1,221 Likely voters |
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| Oct 23 to Oct 27, 2026 | Texas US Senate | A2 Insights | 631 Likely voters |
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| Oct 20 to Oct 27, 2026 | Texas US Senate | CNN/SSRS | 923 Likely voters |
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| Oct 21 to Oct 25, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 2,000 Likely voters |
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| Oct 17 to Oct 21, 2026 | Texas US Senate | ActiVote | 400 Likely voters |
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| Oct 13 to Oct 21, 2026 | Texas US Senate | YouGov | 1,000 Registered voters |
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| Oct 1 to Oct 20, 2026 | Texas US Senate | VoteHub/Verasight | 601 registered-voter responses; likely-voter model (effective n 509) |
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| Oct 15 to Oct 19, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 1,398 Likely voters |
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| Oct 17 to Oct 19, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Emerson College | 1,000 Likely voters |
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| Oct 15 to Oct 18, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Pollfinity | 278 Senate-ballot respondents, registered voters |
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| Oct 15 to Oct 18, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Slingshot Strategies | 969 Likely voters |
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| Sep 30 to Oct 14, 2026 | Texas US Senate | ActiVote | 400 Likely voters |
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| Oct 13 to Oct 14, 2026 | Texas US Senate | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 Likely voters |
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| Oct 9 to Oct 11, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Quantus Insights | 854 Likely voters |
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| Oct 5 to Oct 8, 2026 | Texas US Senate | ReconMR/Siena University | 617 Likely voters |
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| Sep 24 to Sep 28, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 881 Likely voters |
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| Sep 20 to Sep 28, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Guidant Polling and Strategy | 800 Likely voters |
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| Sep 18 to Sep 28, 2026 | Texas US Senate | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | 850 Likely voters |
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| Sep 19 to Sep 22, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Slingshot Strategies | 1,007 Likely voters |
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| Sep 15 to Sep 19, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 1,800 Likely voters |
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| Sep 12 to Sep 14, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Emerson College | 1,000 Likely voters |
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| Sep 8 to Sep 11, 2026 | Texas US Senate | ReconMR/Siena University | 614 Likely voters |
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| Sep 8 to Sep 9, 2026 | Texas US Senate | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 Likely voters |
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| Aug 27 to Sep 4, 2026 | Texas US Senate | YouGov | 1,000 Registered voters |
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| Aug 30 to Sep 1, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | 895 Likely voters |
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| Aug 21 to Aug 24, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Slingshot Strategies | 1,000 Likely voters |
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| Aug 5 to Aug 13, 2026 | Texas US Senate | The Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin/YouGov | 1,200 Registered voters |
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| Aug 9 to Aug 10, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Emerson College | 1,000 Likely voters |
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| Jul 30 to Jul 31, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Wedgewood Polls | 800 Likely voters |
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| Jul 15 to Jul 31, 2026 | Texas US Senate | YouGov Blue Partisan sponsor: Democratic | 1,001 Registered voters |
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| Jul 27 to Jul 30, 2026 | Texas US Senate | ReconMR/Siena University | 619 Likely voters |
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| Jul 27 to Jul 30, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 1,200 Likely voters |
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| Jul 23 to Jul 27, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 1,006 Registered voters |
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| Jul 15 to Jul 17, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Slingshot Strategies | 1,048 Likely voters |
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| Jun 23 to Jun 28, 2026 | Texas US Senate | A2 Insights | 618 Likely voters |
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| Jun 19 to Jun 27, 2026 | Texas US Senate | The New York Times/Siena University | 656 Likely voters |
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| Jun 5 to Jun 12, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGov | 1,200 Registered voters |
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| Jun 3 to Jun 4, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Quantus Insights | 800 Likely voters |
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| Jun 1 to Jun 4, 2026 | Texas US Senate | ReconMR/Siena University | 807 Likely voters |
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| May 27 to May 28, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Slingshot Strategies Partisan sponsor: Democratic | 1,670 Likely voters |
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| May 22 to May 23, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Public Policy Polling Partisan sponsor: Democratic | 643 Likely voters |
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| Apr 22 to May 6, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 1,223 Likely voters |
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| Apr 17 to Apr 20, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Texas Public Opinion Research | 1,018 Likely voters |
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| Apr 17 to Apr 20, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Texas Public Opinion Research | 1,018 Likely voters |
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| Apr 10 to Apr 20, 2026 | Texas US Senate | YouGov | 1,200 Registered voters |
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| Apr 10 to Apr 12, 2026 | Texas US Senate | YouGov | 1,200 Registered voters |
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| Mar 12 to Mar 17, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Impact Research | 900 Likely voters |
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| Mar 4 to Mar 5, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Public Policy Polling Partisan sponsor: Democratic | 576 Adults |
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| Mar 4 to Mar 5, 2026 | Texas US Senate | Public Policy Polling Partisan sponsor: Democratic | 576 Adults |
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- 49%Ken Paxton
- 48%James Talarico
- 1%Ted Brown
Quantus Insights · Oct 26 to Oct 28, 2026 · 1,221 likely voters
- 50%James Talarico
- 47%Ken Paxton
A2 Insights · Oct 23 to Oct 27, 2026 · 631 likely voters
- 49%James Talarico
- 47%Ken Paxton
- 3%Ted Brown
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center · Oct 21 to Oct 25, 2026 · 2,000 likely voters
- 50%James Talarico
- 45%Ken Paxton
YouGov · Oct 13 to Oct 21, 2026 · 1,000 registered voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 45%Ken Paxton
- 1%Ted Brown
VoteHub/Verasight · Oct 1 to Oct 20, 2026 · 601 registered-voter responses; likely-voter model (effective n 509)
- 49%James Talarico
- 49%Ken Paxton
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Oct 15 to Oct 19, 2026 · 1,398 likely voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 46%Ken Paxton
- 1%Ted Brown
Emerson College · Oct 17 to Oct 19, 2026 · 1,000 likely voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 43%Ken Paxton
- 2%Ted Brown
Pollfinity · Oct 15 to Oct 18, 2026 · 278 Senate-ballot respondents, registered voters
- 51%James Talarico
- 47%Ken Paxton
- 2%Ted Brown
Slingshot Strategies · Oct 15 to Oct 18, 2026 · 969 likely voters
- 49%Ken Paxton
- 48%James Talarico
InsiderAdvantage · Oct 13 to Oct 14, 2026 · 1,200 likely voters
- 47%Ken Paxton
- 47%James Talarico
- 2%Ted Brown
Quantus Insights · Oct 9 to Oct 11, 2026 · 854 likely voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 44%Ken Paxton
ReconMR/Siena University · Oct 5 to Oct 8, 2026 · 617 likely voters
- 51%James Talarico
- 49%Ken Paxton
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Sep 24 to Sep 28, 2026 · 881 likely voters
- 47%James Talarico
- 44%Ken Paxton
- 4%Ted Brown
Guidant Polling and Strategy · Sep 20 to Sep 28, 2026 · 800 likely voters
- 45%James Talarico
- 45%Ken Paxton
- 2%Ted Brown
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov · Sep 18 to Sep 28, 2026 · 850 likely voters
- 49%James Talarico
- 45%Ken Paxton
- 3%Ted Brown
Slingshot Strategies · Sep 19 to Sep 22, 2026 · 1,007 likely voters
- 47%James Talarico
- 46%Ken Paxton
- 3%Ted Brown
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center · Sep 15 to Sep 19, 2026 · 1,800 likely voters
- 47%James Talarico
- 46%Ken Paxton
- 2%Ted Brown
Emerson College · Sep 12 to Sep 14, 2026 · 1,000 likely voters
- 49%James Talarico
- 43%Ken Paxton
ReconMR/Siena University · Sep 8 to Sep 11, 2026 · 614 likely voters
- 47%James Talarico
- 46%Ken Paxton
- 2%Ted Brown
InsiderAdvantage · Sep 8 to Sep 9, 2026 · 1,200 likely voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 43%Ken Paxton
YouGov · Aug 27 to Sep 4, 2026 · 1,000 registered voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 44%Ken Paxton
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research · Aug 30 to Sep 1, 2026 · 895 likely voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 42%Ken Paxton
- 1%Ted Brown
Slingshot Strategies · Aug 21 to Aug 24, 2026 · 1,000 likely voters
- 42%James Talarico
- 39%Ken Paxton
- 3%Ted Brown
The Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin/YouGov · Aug 5 to Aug 13, 2026 · 1,200 registered voters
- 47%Ken Paxton
- 46%James Talarico
Emerson College · Aug 9 to Aug 10, 2026 · 1,000 likely voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 46%Ken Paxton
Wedgewood Polls · Jul 30 to Jul 31, 2026 · 800 likely voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 45%Ken Paxton
YouGov Blue · Jul 15 to Jul 31, 2026 · 1,001 registered voters · Partisan sponsor: Democratic
- 47%James Talarico
- 43%Ken Paxton
ReconMR/Siena University · Jul 27 to Jul 30, 2026 · 619 likely voters
- 47%James Talarico
- 45%Ken Paxton
- 2%Ted Brown
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center · Jul 27 to Jul 30, 2026 · 1,200 likely voters
- 51%James Talarico
- 48%Ken Paxton
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Jul 23 to Jul 27, 2026 · 1,006 registered voters
- 45%James Talarico
- 40%Ken Paxton
- 1%Ted Brown
Slingshot Strategies · Jul 15 to Jul 17, 2026 · 1,048 likely voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 46%Ken Paxton
A2 Insights · Jun 23 to Jun 28, 2026 · 618 likely voters
- 47%James Talarico
- 47%Ken Paxton
The New York Times/Siena University · Jun 19 to Jun 27, 2026 · 656 likely voters
- 43%Ken Paxton
- 42%James Talarico
Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGov · Jun 5 to Jun 12, 2026 · 1,200 registered voters
- 45%Ken Paxton
- 43%James Talarico
Quantus Insights · Jun 3 to Jun 4, 2026 · 800 likely voters
- 47%James Talarico
- 44%Ken Paxton
ReconMR/Siena University · Jun 1 to Jun 4, 2026 · 807 likely voters
- 48%James Talarico
- 45%Ken Paxton
Slingshot Strategies · May 27 to May 28, 2026 · 1,670 likely voters · Partisan sponsor: Democratic
- 45%James Talarico
- 38%Ken Paxton
- 3%Ted Brown
Public Policy Polling · May 22 to May 23, 2026 · 643 likely voters · Partisan sponsor: Democratic
- 45%James Talarico
- 45%Ken Paxton
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center · Apr 22 to May 6, 2026 · 1,223 likely voters
- 44%James Talarico
- 41%John CornynIncumbent
Texas Public Opinion Research · Apr 17 to Apr 20, 2026 · 1,018 likely voters
- 46%James Talarico
- 41%Ken Paxton
Texas Public Opinion Research · Apr 17 to Apr 20, 2026 · 1,018 likely voters
- 42%James Talarico
- 34%Ken Paxton
YouGov · Apr 10 to Apr 20, 2026 · 1,200 registered voters
- 40%James Talarico
- 33%John CornynIncumbent
YouGov · Apr 10 to Apr 12, 2026 · 1,200 registered voters
- 44%James Talarico
- 43%Ken Paxton
Impact Research · Mar 12 to Mar 17, 2026 · 900 likely voters
- 47%James Talarico
- 45%Ken Paxton
Public Policy Polling · Mar 4 to Mar 5, 2026 · 576 adults · Partisan sponsor: Democratic
- 44%James Talarico
- 43%John CornynIncumbent
Public Policy Polling · Mar 4 to Mar 5, 2026 · 576 adults · Partisan sponsor: Democratic
Source and license
Polling data from VoteHub (https://votehub.com/polls/api/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Records reformatted by Election Wrld.
“Incumbent” marks a name that exactly matches the current holder of that seat in our officials files. Some polls were fielded in 2025. Last poll added to our copy: October 30, 2026. The polls API returns the same rows as JSON, or as CSV with ?format=csv.