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Virginia District 5

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by John J. McGuire III Republican since Jan 2025

John J. McGuire IIIRepublican · IncumbentAge 58 · 1 year in Congress

John J. McGuire III 51Tom S. P. Perriello 46

Only 1 poll in the last 7 weeksNewest poll · The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government, field dates Sep 23 to Sep 28, released Oct 1, 600 likely votersPolls updated Oct 31, 9:30 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Tom S. P. PerrielloDemocraticAge 52
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Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.

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Virginia District 5: Tom S. P. Perriello vs John J. McGuire III

Preview card: Virginia District 5: Tom S. P. Perriello vs John J. McGuire III

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Last election
John J. McGuire III (Republican) won by 15.0 points, 2024
Margin since 2022
0.3 points toward Democrats

All Virginia districts

Polls over time

One published poll names these candidates: The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government, Sep 23 to Sep 28, released Oct 1. All 1 on the polls page. Polls updated Oct 31, 9:30 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

Side by side

Left column: McGuireRight column: Perriello

Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
$2.4M
$3.8M
Cash on hand
$382K
$684K
Donor-based spectrum
LiberalCentristConservativeMcGuirePerriello
Races
Won 1 of 1
Won 1 of 2
Where the money came from
Individuals
$1.5M
$3.2M
PACs and other committees
$576K
$412K
Party committees
$250
$339
Candidate’s own money
$0
$13K
Loans from the candidate
$0
$0

As each campaign reported to the FEC. Some money has no line here, so these may not add up to the total. Committees giving to John J. McGuire III. Committees giving to Tom S. P. Perriello.

Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.

How these are counted

Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. McGuire: $2,419,702 received, $382,053 cash on hand. Perriello: $3,762,301 received, $684,166 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.

Past results

1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Virginia District 5.

All elections (25 for this seat)

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Source: elections.virginia.gov (XLSX), dated Oct 6

Shift since 2022: 0.3 points toward Democrats (Republican by 15.3 in 2022, Republican by 15.0 in 2024).

All Virginia districts

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2024 US House margin
  • D 15+ pts
  • D 5 to 15 pts
  • D under 5 pts
  • R under 5 pts
  • R 5 to 15 pts
  • R 15+ pts
  • Other winner
  • No data
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Official results for Virginia

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Virginia District 5, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/va/congress/5. Retrieved October 31, 2026.

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Sources

Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

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DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain), Photo creditsData as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)