FL
Florida Senate
Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Ashley Moody Republican since Jan 2025
Special election · Tue, Nov 3
Ashley MoodyRepublican · IncumbentAge 51 · 1 year in CongressAngie NixonDemocraticAge 42 · 4 years in politics
Ashley Moody 49.6Angie Nixon 43.3
Average of 10 polls, Sep 14 to Oct 27, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated
Newest poll
1 is a partisan pollNewest · ActiVote, field dates Oct 17 to Oct 27, released Oct 27, 400 likely votersPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub
Show all 3 candidates on the ballot
- Angie NixonDemocratic
- Ashley MoodyIncumbentRepublican
- Neil J. GillespieIndependent
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
Polls over time
18 polls, through Election Day Nov 3Each dot is one published poll. The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (18)
4 polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 40–47% (D) and 48–53% (R) (newest 5 polls on the chart)
Each dot is a poll with both names, 18 of the 30 for this race. Dots and lines follow the field end date. The table adds the day each poll was released.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | Nixon | Moody |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | Oct 17 to Oct 27 | Oct 27 | 400 likely voters | 47 | 53 |
| Echelon Insights | Oct 16 to Oct 23 | Oct 27 | 515 likely voters | 43 | 51 |
| co/efficient | Oct 18 to Oct 20 | Oct 22 | 1,014 likely voters | 40 | 48 |
| University of North Florida | Oct 12 to Oct 19 | Oct 21 | 1,414 likely voters | 45 | 49 |
| MDW | Oct 4 to Oct 10 | Oct 15 | 800 likely voters | 42 | 48 |
| St. Pete Polls | Oct 5 to Oct 7 | Oct 9 | 836 likely voters | 45 | 47 |
| Targoz Market Research | Sep 28 to Oct 4 | Oct 9 | 857 likely voters | 42 | 52 |
| Targoz Market Research | Sep 28 to Oct 4 | Oct 9 | 1,200 registered voters | 38 | 50 |
| Change Research | Sep 25 to Sep 27 | Sep 29 | 1,063 likely voters | 47 | 48 |
| Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | Sep 14 to Sep 21 | Sep 25 | 830 likely voters | 40 | 51 |
| InsiderAdvantage | Sep 20 to Sep 21 | Sep 22 | 600 likely voters | 41.8 | 49.3 |
| St. Pete Polls | Sep 15 to Sep 17 | Sep 18 | 913 likely voters | 44.8 | 45.2 |
| Quantus Insights | Sep 8 to Sep 10 | Sep 11 | 733 likely voters | 42.7 | 50.1 |
| Change Research | Sep 7 to Sep 9 | Sep 11 | 1,107 likely voters | 47 | 47 |
| University of North Florida | Jul 8 to Jul 17 | Aug 19 | 848 likely voters | 42 | 50 |
| Stetson University | Mar 25 to Apr 13 | Apr 27 | 848 likely voters | 38 | 51 |
| Emerson College | Mar 29 to Mar 31 | Aug 19 | 1,125 likely voters | 36 | 47 |
| University of North Florida | Feb 21 to Mar 2 | Aug 19 | 768 likely voters | 38 | 46 |
Polls left off the chart (12 of 30)
| Poll | Why it is not on the chart |
|---|---|
| University of North FloridaJul 8 to Jul 17 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman) |
| Change ResearchJun 11 to Jun 14 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody) |
| Change ResearchJun 11 to Jun 14 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody) |
| McLaughlin & AssociatesJun 3 to Jun 7 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman) |
| Change ResearchMay 13 to May 16 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody) |
| Change ResearchMay 13 to May 16 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody) |
| Cherry CommunicationsMay 1 to May 9 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Alexander Vindman, Ashley Moody) |
| Stetson UniversityMar 25 to Apr 13 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman) |
| Echelon InsightsApr 3 to Apr 9 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman) |
| MDW CommunicationsMar 27 to Apr 3 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman) |
| Emerson CollegeMar 29 to Mar 31 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman) |
| University of North FloridaFeb 21 to Mar 2 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Ashley Moody, Alexander Vindman) |
Side by side
Moody left, Nixon right- Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
- $14.5M
- $11.3M
- Cash on hand
- $816K
- $3.3M
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeNixonNo published score for Moody
- Years in politics
- 1
- 4
- Age on Election Day
- 51
- 42
Ashley Moody on fec.gov. Angie Nixon on fec.gov. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.
How these are counted
Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works.
What changed in this race
Newest firstNEW POLLFlorida Senate
Florida Senate: Ashley Moody 53, Angie Nixon 47
ActiVote, Oct 17 to Oct 27, 400 likely voters · via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)
NEW POLLFlorida Senate
Florida Senate: Ashley Moody 51, Angie Nixon 43
Echelon Insights, Oct 16 to Oct 23, 515 likely voters · via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Angie NixonDemocratic
- Ashley MoodyIncumbentRepublican
- Neil J. GillespieIndependent
Source: dos.elections.myflorida.com, dated Oct 28
Seat on the ballot, shift from 2016 to 2022: 8.7 points toward Republicans (Republican by 7.7 in 2016, Republican by 16.4 in 2022).
Vote in Florida
Trouble voting? Election Protection hotline: 866-OUR-VOTE. A nonpartisan coalition of civil-rights and voting-rights groups, not a government service. 866ourvote.org
History (17 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 10,757,428
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
US Senate, Florida, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRick ScottWon Republican 5,977,70655.6% DemocraticDebbie Mucarsel-Powell Democratic 4,603,07742.8% IndependentBen Everidge Independent 62,6830.6% LibertarianFeena Bonoan Libertarian 57,3630.5% IndependentTuan Nguyen Independent 56,5860.5% OtherOther Other 130.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 7,758,014
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
US Senate, Florida, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMarco RubioWon Republican 4,474,84757.7% DemocraticVal Demings Democratic 3,201,52241.3% LibertarianDennis Misigoy Libertarian 32,1770.4% IndependentSteven B. Grant Independent 31,8160.4% IndependentTuan Tq Nguyen Independent 17,3850.2% Edward A. Gray Write-in 1900.0% Uloma Uma Ekpete Write-in 420.0% Moses Quiles Write-in 330.0% Howard Knepper Write-in 20.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 8,190,005
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
US Senate, Florida, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanRick ScottWon Republican 4,099,50550.1% DemocraticBill Nelson Democratic 4,089,47249.9% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1,0280.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 9,301,820
- Election day
- November 8, 2016
US Senate, Florida, 2016, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMarco RubioWon Republican 4,835,19152.0% DemocraticPatrick Murphy Democratic 4,122,08844.3% LibertarianPaul Stanton Libertarian 196,9562.1% IndependentBruce Nathan Independent 52,4510.6% IndependentTony Khoury Independent 45,8200.5% IndependentSteven Machat Independent 26,9180.3% IndependentBasil E. Dalack Independent 22,2360.2% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1040.0% OtherCharles Frederick Tolbert Other 560.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 8,189,946
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
US Senate, Florida, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBill NelsonWon Democratic 4,523,45155.2% RepublicanConnie Mack Republican 3,458,26742.2% IndependentBill Gaylor Independent 126,0791.5% IndependentChris Borgia Independent 82,0891.0% Scattered write-ins Write-in 410.0% OtherNaomi Craine Other 190.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 5,411,106
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
US Senate, Florida, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMarco RubioWon Republican 2,645,74348.9% IndependentCharlie Crist Independent 1,607,54929.7% DemocraticKendrick B. Meek Democratic 1,092,93620.2% LibertarianAlexander Andrew Snitker Libertarian 24,8500.5% IndependentSue Askeland Independent 15,3400.3% IndependentRick Tyler Independent 7,3970.1% OtherBernie Decastro Other 4,7920.1% IndependentLewis Jerome Armstrong Independent 4,4430.1% IndependentBobbie Bean Independent 4,3010.1% IndependentBruce Ray Riggs Independent 3,6470.1% Scattered write-ins Write-in 900.0% OtherMa Other 180.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 4,793,534
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
US Senate, Florida, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBill NelsonWon Democratic 2,890,54860.3% RepublicanKatherine Harris Republican 1,826,12738.1% IndependentBelinda Noah Independent 24,8800.5% IndependentBrian Moore Independent 19,6950.4% IndependentFloyd Ray Frazier Independent 16,6280.3% IndependentRoy Tanner Independent 15,5620.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 940.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 7,429,894
- Election day
- November 2, 2004
US Senate, Florida, 2004, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanMel MartinezWon Republican 3,672,86449.4% DemocraticBetty Castor Democratic 3,590,20148.3% OtherDennis F. Bradley Other 166,6422.2% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1870.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 5,856,731
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
US Senate, Florida, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBill NelsonWon Democratic 2,989,48751.0% RepublicanBill McCollum Republican 2,705,34846.2% IndependentWillie Logan Independent 80,8301.4% OtherJoe Simonetta Other 26,0870.4% IndependentDarrell L. McCormick Independent 21,6640.4% OtherJoel Deckard Other 17,3380.3% IndependentAndy Martin Independent 15,8890.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 880.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,900,162
- Election day
- November 3, 1998
US Senate, Florida, 1998, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBob GrahamWon Democratic 2,436,40762.5% RepublicanCharlie Crist Republican 1,463,75537.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 4,106,816
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
US Senate, Florida, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanConnie MackWon Republican 2,895,20070.5% DemocraticHugh E. Rodham Democratic 1,210,57729.5% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1,0390.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 4,962,290
- Election day
- November 3, 1992
US Senate, Florida, 1992, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBob GrahamWon Democratic 3,245,56565.4% RepublicanBill Grant Republican 1,716,50534.6% Scattered write-ins Write-in 2200.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 4,068,209
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
US Senate, Florida, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanConnie MackWon Republican 2,051,07150.4% DemocraticBuddy MacKay Democratic 2,016,55349.6% Scattered write-ins Write-in 5850.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,429,996
- Election day
- November 4, 1986
US Senate, Florida, 1986, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticBob GrahamWon Democratic 1,877,54354.7% RepublicanPaula Hawkins Republican 1,552,37645.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 770.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,653,419
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
US Senate, Florida, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLawton ChilesWon Democratic 1,637,66761.7% RepublicanVan B. Poole Republican 1,015,33038.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 4220.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,528,028
- Election day
- November 4, 1980
US Senate, Florida, 1980, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanPaula HawkinsWon Republican 1,822,46051.7% DemocraticBill Gunter Democratic 1,705,40948.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 1590.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,857,534
- Election day
- November 2, 1976
US Senate, Florida, 1976, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticLawton ChilesWon Democratic 1,799,51863.0% RepublicanJohn Grady Republican 1,057,88637.0% Scattered write-insName as filed: Scatter Write-in 1300.0%
All rows: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). US Senate in Florida, election results. https://www.electionwrld.com/fl/us-senate. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
Sources
Sources
- Used for
- Senate class (I, II, III) of each state seat; only state and class fields used
- License
- US government work, public domain
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.xml
- Used for
- web/data/results/senate/{ST}.json. File 1976-2024-senate-state.csv downloaded from the Dataverse access API, sha256 6f745db1b4a0026ad837e74428f9ed6f3f77fa51eb6f858b58ebdbc186fdb3bd; matches the Dataverse-listed md5 0f8b51cf0f77a2ef0bff992f7a64d1b4 (dataset version 8).
- License
- CC0 1.0
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/PEJ5QU
- Used for
- web/data/officials/congress.json (name, party, bioguide, official site, service start) and web/data/people (birth year, committees, social media handles and profile links; links only, nothing copied from the platforms). As-of: the files saved in data/raw/people on 2026-10-29.
- License
- CC0-1.0
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://unitedstates.github.io/congress-legislators/legislators-current.json
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain), Photo of Angie Nixon: Florida House of Representatives, Public domainData as of Oct 28, 2026
