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Senate D 45I 2R 53House D 214I 1R 218Governors D 24R 26Election Day Tue, Nov 3
MA

Massachusetts Senate

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Edward J. Markey Democratic since Jul 2013

John DeatonRepublican

John Deaton 28.6Edward J. Markey 55.2

Average of 5 polls, Sep 14 to Oct 18, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated

Newest poll

Also in the average: Joe Tache 3.8, Shriya Ayyadurai 3Newest · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov, field dates Oct 7 to Oct 18, released Oct 29, 850 likely votersPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Edward J. MarkeyDemocratic · IncumbentAge 80 · 51 years in Congress
Show all 4 candidates on the ballot

Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.

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Massachusetts Senate: Edward J. Markey vs John Deaton

Preview card: Massachusetts Senate: Edward J. Markey vs John Deaton

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Polls over time

13 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
20%40%60%Sep 2026OctNovNov 3University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov, Aug 5 to Aug 12: Markey 51University of New Hampshire, Aug 20 to Aug 24: Markey 49University of New Hampshire, Sep 17 to Sep 21: Markey 53MassINC Polling Group, Sep 14 to Sep 22: Markey 52University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov, Oct 5 to Oct 12: Markey 56Suffolk University, Oct 14 to Oct 17: Markey 60University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov, Oct 7 to Oct 18: Markey 55University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov, Aug 5 to Aug 12: Deaton 30University of New Hampshire, Aug 20 to Aug 24: Deaton 30University of New Hampshire, Sep 17 to Sep 21: Deaton 30MassINC Polling Group, Sep 14 to Sep 22: Deaton 26University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov, Oct 5 to Oct 12: Deaton 29Suffolk University, Oct 14 to Oct 17: Deaton 32University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov, Oct 7 to Oct 18: Deaton 26Markey55.2Deaton28.6

Each dot is one published poll. The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (13)

3 polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 52–60% (D) and 26–32% (R) (newest 5 polls on the chart)

Each dot is a poll with both names, 13 of the 20 for this race. Dots and lines follow the field end date. The table adds the day each poll was released.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSampleMarkeyDeaton
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovOct 7 to Oct 18Oct 29850 likely voters5526
Suffolk UniversityOct 14 to Oct 17Oct 20500 likely voters6032
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovOct 5 to Oct 12Oct 20800 registered voters5629
MassINC Polling GroupSep 14 to Sep 22Sep 29800 likely voters5226
University of New HampshireSep 17 to Sep 21Oct 8564 likely voters5330
University of New HampshireAug 20 to Aug 24Aug 27881 likely voters4930
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovAug 5 to Aug 12Aug 17800 registered voters5130
University of New HampshireJun 18 to Jun 23Jul 1623 likely voters5034
Suffolk UniversityJun 8 to Jun 12Jun 17500 registered voters5530
University of New HampshireApr 16 to Apr 20May 28603 likely voters5532
University of New HampshireFeb 12 to Feb 16May 28616 likely voters5627
Suffolk UniversityNov 19 to Nov 23May 28500 registered voters5431
SurveyUSAFeb 28 to Mar 4May 28775 registered voters4526
Polls left off the chart (7 of 20)
Polls for this race that are not on the chart, with the reason for each
PollWhy it is not on the chart
University of New HampshireAug 20 to Aug 24Does not name both candidates on this ballot
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovAug 5 to Aug 12Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Seth Moulton, John Deaton)
University of New HampshireJun 18 to Jun 23Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Seth Moulton, John Deaton)
Suffolk UniversityJun 8 to Jun 12Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Seth Moulton, John Deaton)
University of New HampshireApr 16 to Apr 20Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Seth Moulton, John Deaton)
University of New HampshireFeb 12 to Feb 16Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Seth Moulton, John Deaton)
Suffolk UniversityNov 19 to Nov 23Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Seth Moulton, John Deaton)

Side by side

Deaton left, Markey right
Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
$1.7M
$6.0M
Cash on hand
$488K
$800K
Donor-based spectrum
LiberalCentristConservativeDeatonMarkey
Record
None on file
22-0
Years in politics
Not available
51
Age on Election Day
Not available
80

John Deaton on fec.gov. Edward J. Markey on fec.gov. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.

How these are counted

Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Record is wins and losses in the races in our results files, the same count as each profile.

What changed in this race

Newest first
  1. NEW POLLMassachusetts Senate

    Massachusetts Senate: Ed Markey 55, John Deaton 26

    University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov, Oct 7 to Oct 18, 850 likely voters · via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

All changes

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Source: sec.state.ma.us, dated Oct 28

Seat on the ballot, shift from 2014 to 2020: 9.3 points toward Democrats (Democratic by 23.9 in 2014, Democratic by 33.2 in 2020).

Vote in Massachusetts

Trouble voting? Election Protection hotline: 866-OUR-VOTE. A nonpartisan coalition of civil-rights and voting-rights groups, not a government service. 866ourvote.org

Official results for Massachusetts

History (17 elections for this seat)

All rows: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026

Download and cite

Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). US Senate in Massachusetts, election results. https://www.electionwrld.com/ma/us-senate. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

Sources

Sources

Make your pick in the map maker

DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain), Photo of John Deaton: Jeff Dranetz, CC BY 3.0 (cropped)Data as of Oct 28, 2026

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