MI
Michigan Senate
Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Gary C. Peters Democratic since Jan 2015 (not a candidate in 2026)
Abdul El-SayedDemocraticAge 42Mike RogersRepublicanAge 63
Abdul El-Sayed 48.5Mike Rogers 44.7
Average of 19 polls, Sep 10 to Oct 28, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated
Newest poll
4 are partisan pollsNewest · Upswing Research, field dates Oct 24 to Oct 28, released Oct 30, 505 likely voters, partisan (D), per VoteHubPoll sponsored by Demand JusticePolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub
Show all 6 candidates on the ballot
- Abdul El-SayedDemocratic
- Mike RogersRepublican
- Lydia ChristensenLibertarian
- Douglas P. MarshGreen
- Tim LongOther(U.S. Taxpayers Party)
- Walter P. KristyOther(Natural Law Party)
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
Polls over time
45 polls, through Election Day Nov 3Each dot is one published poll. The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (45)
10 polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 49–51.4% (D) and 42–45.1% (R) (newest 5 polls on the chart)
Each dot is a poll with both names, 45 of the 75 for this race. Dots and lines follow the field end date. The table adds the day each poll was released.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | El-Sayed | Rogers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upswing Research | Oct 24 to Oct 28 | Oct 30 | 505 likely voters | 50 | 45 |
| CNN/SSRS | Oct 20 to Oct 27 | Oct 29 | 768 likely voters | 49 | 42 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | Oct 26 to Oct 27 | Oct 29 | 636 likely voters | 51 | 44 |
| Michigan State University Department of Political Science/Verasight | Oct 8 to Oct 23 | Oct 29 | 1,383 likely voters | 50.5 | 43.1 |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | Oct 19 to Oct 22 | Oct 27 | 600 likely voters | 51.4 | 45.1 |
| InsiderAdvantage | Oct 21 to Oct 22 | Oct 23 | 1,200 likely voters | 47 | 46 |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | Oct 2 to Oct 19 | Oct 27 | 836 likely voters | 48 | 45.5 |
| Marist University | Oct 15 to Oct 18 | Oct 21 | — | 50 | 48 |
| The Tyson Group | Oct 6 to Oct 8 | Oct 16 | 600 likely voters | 44 | 46 |
| Z to A Research | Sep 28 to Oct 1 | Oct 9 | 483 likely voters | 49 | 42 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | 682 likely voters | 46 | 41 |
| Trafalgar Group | Sep 28 to Sep 30 | Oct 2 | 1,085 likely voters | 47 | 45 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | Sep 24 to Sep 28 | Oct 1 | 1,028 likely voters | 50 | 49 |
| The Tyson Group | Sep 24 to Sep 27 | Oct 16 | 600 likely voters | 44 | 43 |
| Guidant Polling and Strategy | Sep 20 to Sep 27 | Oct 8 | 800 likely voters | 48 | 43 |
| co/efficient | Sep 21 to Sep 23 | Sep 24 | 843 likely voters | 50 | 50 |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Sep 15 to Sep 22 | Sep 24 | 605 likely voters | 49 | 44 |
| Cygnal/Beacon Research | Sep 18 to Sep 21 | Sep 29 | 600 likely voters | 45 | 40 |
| Suffolk University | Sep 16 to Sep 20 | Sep 22 | 500 likely voters | 47 | 40 |
| Emerson College | Sep 12 to Sep 14 | Sep 17 | 1,000 likely voters | 48.2 | 45.7 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government | Sep 10 to Sep 14 | Sep 17 | 803 likely voters | 48 | 45 |
| Trafalgar Group | Sep 7 to Sep 9 | Sep 11 | 1,079 likely voters | 46.3 | 44.8 |
| EPIC-MRA | Aug 22 to Aug 28 | Aug 29 | 600 likely voters | 47 | 43 |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | Aug 10 to Aug 20 | Sep 1 | 779 likely voters | 50 | 45 |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | Aug 10 to Aug 20 | Sep 1 | 913 registered voters | 48 | 44 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | Aug 11 to Aug 17 | Aug 19 | 800 registered voters | 46 | 39 |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research | Aug 9 to Aug 11 | Aug 20 | 877 likely voters | 48 | 47 |
| TIPP Insights | Aug 6 to Aug 10 | Aug 19 | 1,528 registered voters | 45 | 42 |
| GBAO Strategies | Aug 6 to Aug 10 | Aug 17 | 800 likely voters | 50 | 44 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | Aug 6 to Aug 10 | Aug 14 | 1,006 registered voters | 47 | 51 |
| EPIC-MRA | Jul 24 to Jul 31 | Aug 2 | 600 likely voters | 43 | 46 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | Jul 28 to Jul 29 | Aug 3 | 672 likely voters | 45 | 45 |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | Jul 22 to Jul 24 | Jul 28 | 600 likely voters | 38.7 | 49 |
| Quantus Insights | Jun 29 to Jun 30 | Jul 2 | 947 likely voters | 45.2 | 44.1 |
| Zenith Research | Jun 11 to Jun 14 | Jun 18 | 602 likely voters | 45 | 42 |
| Tulchin Research | Jun 2 to Jun 4 | Jun 12 | 500 likely voters | 46 | 41 |
| TIPP Insights | May 20 to May 23 | Jun 1 | 1,163 likely voters | 43 | 42 |
| TIPP Insights | May 20 to May 23 | Jun 1 | 1,456 registered voters | 40 | 40 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | May 1 to May 7 | May 20 | 607 likely voters | 42 | 41 |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | Apr 28 to May 1 | May 20 | 600 likely voters | 40 | 45 |
| Emerson College | Jan 24 to Jan 25 | May 20 | 1,000 likely voters | 42.5 | 42.8 |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | Jan 2 to Jan 6 | May 20 | 600 likely voters | 42 | 48 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | Nov 18 to Nov 21 | May 20 | 616 likely voters | 38 | 41 |
| Rosetta Stone | Oct 23 to Oct 25 | May 20 | 637 likely voters | 31 | 45 |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | May 5 to May 8 | May 20 | 600 registered voters | 41 | 47 |
Polls left off the chart (30 of 75)
| Poll | Why it is not on the chart |
|---|---|
| EPIC-MRAJul 24 to Jul 31 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 to Jul 29 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Glengariff Group, Inc.Jul 22 to Jul 24 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Quantus InsightsJun 29 to Jun 30 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mallory McMorrow, Mike Rogers) |
| Quantus InsightsJun 29 to Jun 30 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Zenith ResearchJun 11 to Jun 14 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Zenith ResearchJun 11 to Jun 14 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mallory McMorrow, Mike Rogers) |
| TIPP InsightsMay 20 to May 23 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| TIPP InsightsMay 20 to May 23 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mallory McMorrow, Mike Rogers) |
| TIPP InsightsMay 20 to May 23 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mallory McMorrow, Mike Rogers) |
| TIPP InsightsMay 20 to May 23 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 to May 7 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 to May 7 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mallory McMorrow, Mike Rogers) |
| Glengariff Group, Inc.Apr 28 to May 1 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Mallory McMorrow) |
| Glengariff Group, Inc.Apr 28 to May 1 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Emerson CollegeJan 24 to Jan 25 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mallory McMorrow, Mike Rogers) |
| Emerson CollegeJan 24 to Jan 25 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Glengariff Group, Inc.Jan 2 to Jan 6 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Haley Stevens) |
| Glengariff Group, Inc.Jan 2 to Jan 6 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Mallory McMorrow) |
| Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 to Nov 21 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Haley Stevens) |
| Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 to Nov 21 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Mallory McMorrow) |
| EPIC-MRANov 6 to Nov 11 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Mallory McMorrow) |
| EPIC-MRANov 6 to Nov 11 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Rosetta StoneOct 23 to Oct 25 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Haley Stevens) |
| Rosetta StoneOct 23 to Oct 25 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Mallory McMorrow) |
| Normington, Petts & AssociatesJun 12 to Jun 16 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Mallory McMorrow) |
| Normington, Petts & AssociatesJun 12 to Jun 16 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Glengariff Group, Inc.May 5 to May 8 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Haley Stevens, Mike Rogers) |
| Glengariff Group, Inc.May 5 to May 8 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Mallory McMorrow) |
| Target InsyghtMar 3 to Mar 6 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Mike Rogers, Haley Stevens) |
Side by side
El-Sayed left, Rogers right- Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 22
- $53.8M
- $23.0M
- Cash on hand
- $2.7M
- $3.9M
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeRogersNo published score for El-Sayed
- Record
- None on file
- 8-1
- Age on Election Day
- 42
- 63
Abdul El-Sayed on fec.gov. Mike Rogers on fec.gov. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.
How these are counted
Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle, filed through Oct 14 and Oct 22. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Record is wins and losses in the races in our results files, the same count as each profile.
What changed in this race
Newest firstNEW POLLMichigan Senate
Michigan Senate: Abdul El-Sayed 50, Mike Rogers 45
Upswing Research, Oct 24 to Oct 28, 505 likely voters · via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)
NEW POLLMichigan Senate
Michigan Senate: Abdul El-Sayed 49, Mike Rogers 42
CNN/SSRS, Oct 20 to Oct 27, 768 likely voters · via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Abdul El-SayedDemocratic
- Mike RogersRepublican
- Lydia ChristensenLibertarian
- Douglas P. MarshGreen
- Tim LongOther(U.S. Taxpayers Party)
- Walter P. KristyOther(Natural Law Party)
Source: mi-boe.entellitrak.com, dated Oct 28
Seat on the ballot, shift from 2014 to 2020: 11.6 points toward Republicans (Democratic by 13.3 in 2014, Democratic by 1.7 in 2020).
Vote in Michigan
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History (17 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 5,577,187
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
US Senate, Michigan, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticElissa SlotkinWon Democratic 2,712,68648.6% RepublicanMike Rogers Republican 2,693,68048.3% LibertarianJoseph Solis-Mullen Libertarian 56,6971.0% GreenDouglas P. Marsh Green 53,9781.0% OtherDave Stein Other 41,3630.7% OtherDoug Dern Other 18,7790.3% OtherOther Other 40.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 5,479,720
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
US Senate, Michigan, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticGary C. PetersWon Democratic 2,734,56849.9% RepublicanJohn James Republican 2,642,23348.2% OtherValerie L. Willis Other 50,5970.9% GreenMarcia Squier Green 39,2170.7% OtherDoug Dern Other 13,0930.2% OtherLeonard Paul Gadzinski Other 70.0% OtherRobert William Carr Other 50.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 4,237,271
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
US Senate, Michigan, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDebbie StabenowWon Democratic 2,214,47852.3% RepublicanJohn James Republican 1,938,81845.8% GreenMarcia Squier Green 40,2040.9% OtherGeorge E. Huffman III Other 27,2510.6% OtherJohn Howard Wilhelm Other 16,5020.4% Scattered write-ins Write-in 180.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,121,771
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
US Senate, Michigan, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticGary C. PetersWon Democratic 1,704,93654.6% RepublicanTerri Lynn Land Republican 1,290,19941.3% LibertarianJim Fulner Libertarian 62,8972.0% OtherRichard A. Matkin Other 37,5291.2% GreenChris Wahmhoff Green 26,1370.8% Scattered write-ins Write-in 730.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 4,652,918
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
US Senate, Michigan, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDebbie StabenowWon Democratic 2,735,82658.8% RepublicanPete Hoekstra Republican 1,767,38638.0% LibertarianScotty Boman Libertarian 84,4801.8% GreenHarley Mikkelson Green 27,8900.6% OtherRichard A. Matkin Other 26,0380.6% OtherJohn D. Litle Other 11,2290.2% Scattered write-ins Write-in 690.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 4,848,620
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
US Senate, Michigan, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticCarl LevinWon Democratic 3,038,38662.7% RepublicanJack Hoogendyk Republican 1,641,07033.8% LibertarianScotty Boman Libertarian 76,3471.6% GreenHarley G. Mikkelson Green 43,4400.9% OtherMichael N. Nikitin Other 30,8270.6% OtherDoug Dern Other 18,5500.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,780,142
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
US Senate, Michigan, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDebbie StabenowWon Democratic 2,151,27856.9% RepublicanMichael Bouchard Republican 1,559,59741.3% LibertarianLeonard Schwartz Libertarian 27,0120.7% GreenDavid Sole Green 23,8900.6% OtherW. Dennis Fitzsimons Other 18,3410.5% Scattered write-ins Write-in 240.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,129,287
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
US Senate, Michigan, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticCarl LevinWon Democratic 1,896,61460.6% RepublicanAndrew Raczkowski Republican 1,185,54537.9% GreenEric Borregard Green 23,9310.8% OtherJohn S. Mangopoulos Other 12,8310.4% OtherDoug Dern Other 10,3660.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 4,167,685
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
US Senate, Michigan, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDebbie StabenowWon Democratic 2,061,95249.5% RepublicanSpencer Abraham Republican 1,994,69347.9% GreenMatthew R. Abel Green 37,5420.9% LibertarianMichael R. Corliss Libertarian 29,9660.7% OtherMark A. Forton Other 26,2740.6% OtherJohn Mangopoulos Other 11,6280.3% OtherWilliam Quarton Other 5,6300.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,762,575
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
US Senate, Michigan, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticCarl LevinWon Democratic 2,195,73858.4% RepublicanRonna Romney Republican 1,500,10639.9% LibertarianKenneth L. Proctor Libertarian 36,9111.0% OtherWilliam Roundtree Other 12,2350.3% OtherJoseph S. Mattingly Other 11,3060.3% OtherMartin P. McLaughlin Other 5,9750.2% Scattered write-ins Write-in 3040.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,043,385
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
US Senate, Michigan, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSpencer AbrahamWon Republican 1,578,77051.9% DemocraticBobb Carr Democratic 1,300,96042.7% LibertarianJon Coon Libertarian 128,3934.2% OtherWilliam Roundtree Other 20,0100.7% OtherChris Wege Other 14,7460.5% Scattered write-insName as filed: Scatter Write-in 5060.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,560,494
- Election day
- November 6, 1990
US Senate, Michigan, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticCarl LevinWon Democratic 1,471,75357.5% RepublicanBill Schuette Republican 1,055,69541.2% OtherSusan Farquhar Other 32,7961.3% Scattered write-ins Write-in 2500.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,505,985
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
US Senate, Michigan, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDonald W. Riegle, Jr.Won Democratic 2,116,86560.4% RepublicanJim Dunn Republican 1,348,21938.5% LibertarianDick M. Jacobs Libertarian 27,1160.8% OtherSally Bier Other 8,9080.3% OtherOther Other 4,8770.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,700,938
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
US Senate, Michigan, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticCarl LevinWon Democratic 1,915,83151.8% RepublicanJack Lousma Republican 1,745,30247.2% OtherArthur Richard Tisch Other 22,8820.6% LibertarianLynn Johnston Libertarian 7,7860.2% OtherHelen Meyers Other 2,6860.1% OtherWilliam Roundtree Other 2,2790.1% IndependentMax Dean Independent 2,1350.1% OtherSamuel L. Webb Other 1,1960.0% OtherFred Mazelis Other 8180.0% OtherOther Other 230.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,994,334
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
US Senate, Michigan, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDonald W. Riegle, Jr.Won Democratic 1,728,79357.7% RepublicanPhilip E. Ruppe Republican 1,223,28840.9% LibertarianBette Erwin Libertarian 19,1310.6% OtherDaniel Eller Other 12,6600.4% OtherHelen Halyard Other 6,0850.2% OtherSteve Beumer Other 4,3350.1% Scattered write-ins Write-in 420.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 2,846,630
- Election day
- November 7, 1978
US Senate, Michigan, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticCarl LevinWon Democratic 1,484,19352.1% RepublicanRobert P. Griffin Republican 1,362,16547.9% Scattered write-insName as filed: Scatter Write-in 2720.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,490,412
- Election day
- November 2, 1976
US Senate, Michigan, 1976, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticDonald W. Riegle, Jr.Won Democratic 1,831,03152.5% RepublicanMarvin L. Esch Republican 1,635,08746.8% LibertarianBette Jane Erwin Libertarian 8,8420.3% OtherTheodore G. Albert Other 7,2810.2% OtherPaula L. Reimers Other 3,3990.1% OtherFrank Girard Other 2,5540.1% OtherPeter A. Signorelli Other 2,2180.1%
All rows: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). US Senate in Michigan, election results. https://www.electionwrld.com/mi/us-senate. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
Sources
Sources
- Used for
- Senate class (I, II, III) of each state seat; only state and class fields used
- License
- US government work, public domain
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.xml
- Used for
- web/data/results/senate/{ST}.json. File 1976-2024-senate-state.csv downloaded from the Dataverse access API, sha256 6f745db1b4a0026ad837e74428f9ed6f3f77fa51eb6f858b58ebdbc186fdb3bd; matches the Dataverse-listed md5 0f8b51cf0f77a2ef0bff992f7a64d1b4 (dataset version 8).
- License
- CC0 1.0
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/PEJ5QU
- Used for
- web/data/officials/congress.json (name, party, bioguide, official site, service start) and web/data/people (birth year, committees, social media handles and profile links; links only, nothing copied from the platforms). As-of: the files saved in data/raw/people on 2026-10-29.
- License
- CC0-1.0
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://unitedstates.github.io/congress-legislators/legislators-current.json
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Photo of Abdul El-Sayed: Conlan Houston, CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped), Photo of Mike Rogers: P.J. Siquig, U.S. Army (DVIDS), Public domainData as of Oct 28, 2026
