Missouri District 2
Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Ann Wagner Republican since Jan 2013
Ann Wagner 44.7Fred Wellman 46.3
Average of 3 polls, Sep 14 to Oct 20, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated
Newest poll
1 is a partisan pollNewest · Public Policy Polling, field dates Oct 19 to Oct 20, released Oct 21, 631 likely voters, partisan (D), per VoteHubPoll sponsored by House Majority PACPolls updated Oct 31, 8:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub
Show all 3 candidates on the ballot
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
- Fred WellmanDemocratic
- Ann WagnerIncumbentRepublican
- Brandon Coulter DaughertyLibertarian
- Last election
- Ann Wagner (Republican) won by 12.0 points, 2024
- Margin since 2022
- 0.2 points toward Republicans
Polls over time
3 polls, through Election Day Nov 3The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls updated Oct 31, 8:30 p.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (3)
2 polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 42 to 51% (D) and 43 to 46% (R) (newest 3 polls on the chart)
3 of the 3 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | Wellman | Wagner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | Oct 19 to Oct 20 | Oct 21 | 631 likely voters | 46 | 45 |
| Emerson College | Oct 12 to Oct 14 | Oct 22 | 401 likely voters | 51 | 46 |
| Remington Research Group | Sep 14 to Sep 15 | Sep 25 | 565 likely voters | 42 | 43 |
Side by side
Left column: WagnerRight column: Wellman
- Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
- $4.2M
- $2.2M
- Cash on hand
- $1.6M
- $241K
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeWagnerNo published score for Wellman
Where the money came from
- Individuals
- $2.4M
- $2.0M
- PACs and other committees
- $1.4M
- $136K
- Party committees
- $0
- $0
- Candidate’s own money
- $0
- $1K
- Loans from the candidate
- $0
- $0
As each campaign reported to the FEC. Some money has no line here, so these may not add up to the total. Committees giving to Ann Wagner. Committees giving to Fred Wellman.
Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.
How these are counted
Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Wagner: $4,189,876 received, $1,631,397 cash on hand. Wellman: $2,178,965 received, $240,718 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works.
Past results
- Votes for listed candidates
- 428,392
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
- District map
- Same as today
US House, Missouri District 2, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 233,44454.5% DemocraticRay Hartmann Democratic 182,05642.5% LibertarianBrandon Daugherty Libertarian 8,9512.1% GreenShelby Davis Green 3,9410.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 315,666
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
- District map
- Same as today
US House, Missouri District 2, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 173,27754.9% DemocraticTrish Gunby Democratic 135,89543.1% LibertarianBill Slantz Libertarian 6,4942.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 449,348
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 233,15751.9% DemocraticJill Schupp Democratic 204,54045.5% LibertarianMartin Schulte Libertarian 11,6472.6% Gina Bufe Write-in 40.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 376,066
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 192,47751.2% DemocraticCort Vanostran Democratic 177,61147.2% LibertarianLarry A Kirk Libertarian 4,2291.1% GreenDavid Justus Arnold Green 1,7400.5% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 90.0%
1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source
District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Missouri District 2.
All elections (25 for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 428,392
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
- District map
- Same as today
US House, Missouri District 2, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 233,44454.5% DemocraticRay Hartmann Democratic 182,05642.5% LibertarianBrandon Daugherty Libertarian 8,9512.1% GreenShelby Davis Green 3,9410.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 315,666
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
- District map
- Same as today
US House, Missouri District 2, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 173,27754.9% DemocraticTrish Gunby Democratic 135,89543.1% LibertarianBill Slantz Libertarian 6,4942.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 449,348
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 233,15751.9% DemocraticJill Schupp Democratic 204,54045.5% LibertarianMartin Schulte Libertarian 11,6472.6% Gina Bufe Write-in 40.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 376,066
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 192,47751.2% DemocraticCort Vanostran Democratic 177,61147.2% LibertarianLarry A Kirk Libertarian 4,2291.1% GreenDavid Justus Arnold Green 1,7400.5% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 90.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 413,296
- Election day
- November 8, 2016
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2016, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 241,95458.5% DemocraticBill Otto Democratic 155,68937.7% LibertarianJim Higgins Libertarian 11,7582.8% GreenDavid Justus Arnold Green 3,8950.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 231,117
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 148,19164.1% DemocraticArthur Lieber Democratic 75,38432.6% LibertarianBill Slantz Libertarian 7,5423.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 394,448
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanAnn WagnerWon Republican 236,97160.1% DemocraticGlenn Koenen Democratic 146,27237.1% LibertarianBill Slantz Libertarian 9,1932.3% OtherAnatol Zorikova Other 2,0120.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 265,632
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanW Todd AkinWon Republican 180,48167.9% DemocraticArthur Lieber Democratic 77,46729.2% LibertarianSteve Mosbacher Libertarian 7,6772.9% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 70.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 372,972
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanW Todd AkinWon Republican 232,27662.3% DemocraticWilliam C "Bill" Haas Democratic 132,06835.4% LibertarianThomas L Knapp Libertarian 8,6282.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 287,617
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanW Todd AkinWon Republican 176,45261.3% DemocraticGeorge D Weber Democratic 105,24236.6% LibertarianTamara A Millay Libertarian 5,9232.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 349,867
- Election day
- November 2, 2004
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2004, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanW Todd AkinWon Republican 228,72565.4% DemocraticGeorge D Weber Democratic 115,36633.0% LibertarianDarla Maloney Libertarian 4,8221.4% OtherDavid Leefe Other 9540.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 248,828
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanW Todd AkinWon Republican 167,05767.1% DemocraticJohn Hogan Democratic 77,22331.0% LibertarianDarla R Maloney Libertarian 4,5481.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 298,062
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Missouri District 2, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanTodd AkinWon Republican 164,92655.3% DemocraticTed House Democratic 126,44142.4% GreenMike Odell Green 2,9071.0% LibertarianJames Higgins Libertarian 2,5240.8% OtherRichard J Gimpelson Other 1,2640.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 203,259
- Election day
- November 3, 1998
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1998, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJames M TalentWon Republican 142,31370.0% DemocraticJohn Ross Democratic 57,56528.3% LibertarianBrian K Lundy Libertarian 3,3311.6% Scattered write-insName as filed: Writein Write-in 500.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 270,726
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJames M TalentWon Republican 165,99961.3% DemocraticJoan Kelly Horn Democratic 100,37237.1% LibertarianAnton Charles Stever Libertarian 2,7371.0% OtherJudith Clessler Other 1,6180.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 230,287
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJames M TalentWon Republican 154,88267.3% DemocraticPat Kelly Democratic 70,48030.6% LibertarianJim Higgins Libertarian 4,9252.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 312,442
- Election day
- November 3, 1992
- District map
- Older district map (1992 to 2000)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1992, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJames M TalentWon Republican 157,59450.4% DemocraticJoan Kelly Horn Democratic 148,72947.6% LibertarianJim Higgins Libertarian 6,1192.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 188,568
- Election day
- November 6, 1990
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticJoan Kelly HornWon Democratic 94,30850.0% RepublicanJack Buechner Republican 94,26050.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 281,109
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJack BuechnerWon Republican 186,45066.3% DemocraticRobert H "Bob" Feigenbaum Democratic 91,64532.6% LibertarianDeania Lohmann Libertarian 3,0141.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 194,548
- Election day
- November 4, 1986
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1986, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJack BuechnerWon Republican 101,01051.9% DemocraticRobert A Young Democratic 93,53848.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 268,616
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRobert A YoungWon Democratic 139,12351.8% RepublicanJohn "Jack" Buechner Republican 127,71047.5% LibertarianChad G Colopy Libertarian 1,7830.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 178,203
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
- District map
- Older district map (1982 to 1990)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRobert A YoungWon Democratic 100,77056.5% RepublicanHarold L Dielmann Republican 77,43343.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 229,989
- Election day
- November 4, 1980
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1980, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRobert A YoungWon Democratic 148,22764.4% RepublicanJohn O Shields Republican 81,76235.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 182,406
- Election day
- November 7, 1978
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRobert A YoungWon Democratic 102,91156.4% RepublicanBob Chase Republican 79,49543.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 218,379
- Election day
- November 2, 1976
- District map
- Older district map (1972 to 1980)
US House, Missouri District 2, 1976, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticRobert A YoungWon Democratic 111,56851.1% RepublicanRobert O Snyder Republican 106,81148.9%
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Fred WellmanDemocratic
- Ann WagnerIncumbentRepublican
- Brandon Coulter DaughertyLibertarian
Source: sos.mo.gov (PDF), dated Aug 25
Shift since 2022: 0.2 points toward Republicans (Republican by 11.8 in 2022, Republican by 12.0 in 2024).
All Missouri districts
- D 15+ pts
- D 5 to 15 pts
- D under 5 pts
- R under 5 pts
- R 5 to 15 pts
- R 15+ pts
- Other winner
- No data
Show these districts as a list (8)
- Missouri District 1· Wesley Bell (D), Democratic by 57.6 points, 2024
- Missouri District 2· Ann Wagner (R), Republican by 12.0 points, 2024
- Missouri District 3· Robert F. Onder, Jr. (R), Republican by 26.0 points, 2024
- Missouri District 4· Mark Alford (R), Republican by 44.7 points, 2024
- Missouri District 5· Emanuel Cleaver (D), Democratic by 23.8 points, 2024
- Missouri District 6· Sam Graves (R), Republican by 43.8 points, 2024
- Missouri District 7· Eric Burlison (R), Republican by 45.3 points, 2024
- Missouri District 8· Jason Smith (R), Republican by 54.4 points, 2024
Map settings
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Election Wrld. (2026). Missouri District 2, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/mo/congress/2. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
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<p style="font-size:13px">Data: <a href="https://www.electionwrld.com">Election Wrld</a>, CC BY 4.0</p>Sources
Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain), Photo creditsData as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)