Montana Senate
Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Steve Daines Republican since Jan 2015
3 candidates. Sorted by most raised, FEC through Oct 14.
- Seth Bodnar IndependentIndependent$4.9M
- Kurt Alme RepublicanRepublican$3.0M
- Alani Bankhead DemocraticDemocratic$191K
Average of 4 polls, Sep 19 to Oct 23, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated1 is a partisan pollAlso in the average: Kyle Austin 2.3Newest · Concord Public Opinion Partners, field dates Oct 22 to Oct 23, released Oct 29, 410 likely voters, partisan (D), per VoteHubPoll sponsored by Democrats for Education ReformPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub
Alme 39.8Bodnar 26.8Bankhead 21
Show all 4 candidates on the ballot
- Kurt AlmeRepublican
- Kyle AustinLibertarian
- Alani BankheadDemocratic
- Seth BodnarIndependent
Write-in candidates, not printed on the ballot
- Jami Dee WoodmanNonpartisan(Nonpartisan)
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
Polls over time
26 polls, through Election Day Nov 3Each dot is one published poll. The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (26)
3 polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 30–46% (R), 10–29% (D) and 21–39% (I) (newest 5 polls on the chart)
Each dot is a poll that names the candidate, 26 of the 27 for this race. Dots and lines follow the field end date. The table adds the day each poll was released.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | Alme | Bodnar | Bankhead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concord Public Opinion Partners | Oct 22 to Oct 23 | Oct 29 | 410 likely voters | 38 | 39 | 10 |
| Montana State University Billings | Oct 5 to Oct 21 | Oct 30 | 720 adults | 30 | 21 | 26 |
| Quantus Insights | Oct 15 to Oct 18 | Oct 20 | 686 likely voters | 46 | 21 | 29 |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | Sep 19 to Sep 24 | Sep 29 | 604 likely voters | 45 | 26 | 19 |
| Quantus Insights | Sep 14 to Sep 15 | Sep 18 | 625 likely voters | 44 | 24 | 23 |
| Hart Research Associates | Aug 1 to Aug 4 | Aug 13 | 800 likely voters | 45 | 30 | 15 |
| Tavern Research | Jul 23 to Jul 27 | Jul 28 | 517 likely voters | 59 | — | 41 |
| Tavern Research | Jul 23 to Jul 27 | Jul 28 | 517 likely voters | 49 | 27 | 22 |
| Tavern Research | Jul 23 to Jul 27 | Jul 28 | 517 likely voters | 49 | 25 | 24 |
| Tavern Research | Jul 23 to Jul 27 | Jul 28 | 517 likely voters | 56 | — | 36 |
| Tavern Research | Jul 23 to Jul 27 | Jul 28 | 517 likely voters | 51 | 49 | — |
| Tavern Research | Jul 23 to Jul 27 | Jul 28 | 517 likely voters | 50 | 45 | — |
| GQR | Jul 23 to Jul 26 | Jul 28 | 500 likely voters | 40 | 44 | — |
| GQR | Jul 23 to Jul 26 | Jul 28 | 500 likely voters | 52 | — | 44 |
| GQR | Jul 23 to Jul 26 | Jul 28 | 500 likely voters | 41 | 27 | 22 |
| GQR | Jul 23 to Jul 26 | Jul 28 | 500 likely voters | 44 | 50 | — |
| GQR | Jul 23 to Jul 26 | Jul 28 | 500 likely voters | 44 | — | 40 |
| The Bullfinch Group | Jul 13 to Jul 16 | Jul 28 | 793 likely voters | 36 | 24 | 22 |
| Hart Research Associates | Jun 18 to Jun 24 | Jul 23 | 800 likely voters | 49 | — | 43 |
| GrayHouse | Jun 23 to Jun 24 | Jul 1 | 500 likely voters | 41 | 17 | 25 |
| Tavern Research | Jun 16 to Jun 19 | Jul 1 | 400 likely voters | 56 | — | 44 |
| Tavern Research | Jun 16 to Jun 19 | Jul 1 | 400 likely voters | 49 | 25 | 27 |
| Tavern Research | Jun 16 to Jun 19 | Jul 1 | 400 likely voters | 50 | 50 | — |
| Public Opinion Strategies | Jun 8 to Jun 11 | Jun 18 | 500 likely voters | 44 | 20 | 25 |
| Tavern Research | May 13 to May 18 | May 19 | 607 likely voters | 50 | 50 | — |
| Tavern Research | May 13 to May 18 | May 19 | 607 likely voters | 46 | 26 | — |
Polls left off the chart (1 of 27)
| Poll | Why it is not on the chart |
|---|---|
| Tavern ResearchMay 13 to May 18 | Names fewer than two candidates on this ballot (lists Reilly Neill, Kurt Alme) |
What changed in this race
Newest firstNEW POLLMontana Senate
Montana Senate: Kurt Alme 30, Alani Bankhead 26
Montana State University Billings, Oct 5 to Oct 21, 720 adults · via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)
NEW POLLMontana Senate
Montana Senate: Seth Bodnar 39, Kurt Alme 38
Concord Public Opinion Partners, Oct 22 to Oct 23, 410 likely voters · via VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Kurt AlmeRepublican
- Kyle AustinLibertarian
- Alani BankheadDemocratic
- Seth BodnarIndependent
Write-in candidates, not printed on the ballot
- Jami Dee WoodmanNonpartisan(Nonpartisan)
Party nominees only, not the certified ballot.
Source: candidatefiling.mt.gov, dated Oct 28
Seat on the ballot, shift from 2014 to 2020: 7.7 points toward Democrats (Republican by 17.7 in 2014, Republican by 10.0 in 2020).
Vote in Montana
- Register
- Registration, polling place, sample ballot lookup, mail ballot status
- ID rules
- Election office
Trouble voting? Election Protection hotline: 866-OUR-VOTE. A nonpartisan coalition of civil-rights and voting-rights groups, not a government service. 866ourvote.org
History (17 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 607,262
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
US Senate, Montana, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanTim SheehyWon Republican 319,68252.6% DemocraticJon Tester Democratic 276,30545.5% LibertarianSid Daoud Libertarian 7,2721.2% GreenRobert Barb Green 4,0030.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 605,637
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
US Senate, Montana, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSteve DainesWon Republican 333,17455.0% DemocraticSteve Bullock Democratic 272,46345.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 504,384
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
US Senate, Montana, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticJon TesterWon Democratic 253,87650.3% RepublicanMatt Rosendale Republican 235,96346.8% LibertarianRick Breckenridge Libertarian 14,5452.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 369,826
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
US Senate, Montana, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanSteve DainesWon Republican 213,70957.8% DemocraticAmanda Curtis Democratic 148,18440.1% LibertarianRoger Roots Libertarian 7,9332.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 486,066
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
US Senate, Montana, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticJon TesterWon Democratic 236,12348.6% RepublicanDenny Rehberg Republican 218,05144.9% LibertarianDan Cox Libertarian 31,8926.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 477,658
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
US Senate, Montana, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMax BaucusWon Democratic 348,28972.9% RepublicanBob Kelleher Republican 129,36927.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 406,505
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
US Senate, Montana, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticJon TesterWon Democratic 199,84549.2% RepublicanConrad Burns Republican 196,28348.3% LibertarianStan Jones Libertarian 10,3772.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 326,537
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
US Senate, Montana, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMax BaucusWon Democratic 204,85362.7% RepublicanMike Taylor Republican 103,61131.7% LibertarianStan Jones Libertarian 10,4203.2% GreenBob Kelleher Green 7,6532.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 411,601
- Election day
- November 7, 2000
US Senate, Montana, 2000, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanConrad BurnsWon Republican 208,08250.6% DemocraticBrian Schweitzer Democratic 194,43047.2% OtherGary Lee Other 9,0892.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 407,490
- Election day
- November 5, 1996
US Senate, Montana, 1996, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMax BaucusWon Democratic 201,93549.6% RepublicanDennis Rehberg Republican 182,11144.7% OtherBecky Shaw Other 19,2764.7% OtherStephen Heaton Other 4,1681.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 350,387
- Election day
- November 8, 1994
US Senate, Montana, 1994, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanConrad R. BurnsWon Republican 218,54262.4% DemocraticJack Mudd Democratic 131,84537.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 319,336
- Election day
- November 6, 1990
US Senate, Montana, 1990, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMax BaucusWon Democratic 217,56368.1% RepublicanAllen C. Kolstad Republican 93,83629.4% LibertarianWestley F. Deitchler Libertarian 7,9372.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 365,254
- Election day
- November 8, 1988
US Senate, Montana, 1988, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanConrad BurnsWon Republican 189,44551.9% DemocraticJohn Melcher Democratic 175,80948.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 379,155
- Election day
- November 6, 1984
US Senate, Montana, 1984, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMax BaucusWon Democratic 215,70456.9% RepublicanChuck Cozzens Republican 154,30840.7% LibertarianNeil Halprin Libertarian 9,1432.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 321,062
- Election day
- November 2, 1982
US Senate, Montana, 1982, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticJohn MelcherWon Democratic 174,86154.5% RepublicanLarry Williams Republican 133,78941.7% LibertarianLarry Dodge Libertarian 12,4123.9% - Votes for listed candidates
- 287,942
- Election day
- November 7, 1978
US Senate, Montana, 1978, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticMax BaucusWon Democratic 160,35355.7% RepublicanLarry Williams Republican 127,58944.3% - Votes for listed candidates
- 321,445
- Election day
- November 2, 1976
US Senate, Montana, 1976, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticJohn MelcherWon Democratic 206,23264.2% RepublicanStanley C. Burger Republican 115,21335.8%
All rows: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). US Senate in Montana, election results. https://www.electionwrld.com/mt/us-senate. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
Sources
Sources
- Used for
- Senate class (I, II, III) of each state seat; only state and class fields used
- License
- US government work, public domain
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.xml
- Used for
- web/data/results/senate/{ST}.json. File 1976-2024-senate-state.csv downloaded from the Dataverse access API, sha256 6f745db1b4a0026ad837e74428f9ed6f3f77fa51eb6f858b58ebdbc186fdb3bd; matches the Dataverse-listed md5 0f8b51cf0f77a2ef0bff992f7a64d1b4 (dataset version 8).
- License
- CC0 1.0
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/PEJ5QU
- Used for
- web/data/officials/congress.json (name, party, bioguide, official site, service start) and web/data/people (birth year, committees, social media handles and profile links; links only, nothing copied from the platforms). As-of: the files saved in data/raw/people on 2026-10-29.
- License
- CC0-1.0
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://unitedstates.github.io/congress-legislators/legislators-current.json
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, Photo of Kurt Alme: U.S. Department of Justice, Public domain, Photo of Alani Bankhead: Technical Sergeant Nicholas Brown, U.S. Air Force (DVIDS), Public domainData as of Oct 28, 2026
