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Nebraska District 2

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Don Bacon Republican since Jan 2017 (not a candidate in 2026)

3 candidates. Sorted by most raised, FEC through Oct 14.

Average of 2 polls, Sep 8 to Oct 5, from VoteHub · how it’s calculatedNewest · National Public Affairs, field dates Oct 2 to Oct 5, released Oct 13, 377 likely votersPolls updated Oct 31, 2:46 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Powell 48Harding 40Foreman 6

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Nebraska District 2

Preview card: Nebraska District 2

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Last election
Don Bacon (Republican) won by 1.8 points, 2024
Margin since 2022
0.8 points toward Democrats
On the 2026 ballot
3 candidates, open seat

All Nebraska districts

Polls over time

2 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
30%40%50%60%Oct 2026NovNov 3SurveyUSA, Sep 8 to Sep 13: Powell 46National Public Affairs, Oct 2 to Oct 5: Powell 50SurveyUSA, Sep 8 to Sep 13: Harding 42National Public Affairs, Oct 2 to Oct 5: Harding 38Powell48.0Harding40.0

The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls updated Oct 31, 2:46 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (2)

No polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 46 to 50% (D), 38 to 42% (R) and 6% (L) (newest 2 polls on the chart)

2 of the 2 polls for this race, each naming a candidate, plotted on the field end date.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSamplePowellHarding
National Public AffairsOct 2 to Oct 5Oct 13377 likely voters5038
SurveyUSASep 8 to Sep 13Sep 15182 likely voters4642

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Open seat

The current holder, Don Bacon, is not on the candidate list.

Source: sos.nebraska.gov (PDF), dated Sep 11

Shift since 2022: 0.8 points toward Democrats (Republican by 2.6 in 2022, Republican by 1.8 in 2024).

All Nebraska districts

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2024 US House margin
  • D 15+ pts
  • D 5 to 15 pts
  • D under 5 pts
  • R under 5 pts
  • R 5 to 15 pts
  • R 15+ pts
  • Other winner
  • No data
Show these districts as a list (3)
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Vote in Nebraska

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Official results for Nebraska

History (25 elections for this seat)

1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Nebraska District 2.

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Nebraska District 2, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/ne/congress/2. Retrieved October 31, 2026.

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<p style="font-size:13px">Data: <a href="https://www.electionwrld.com">Election Wrld</a>, CC BY 4.0</p>
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Sources

Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

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DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FECData as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)