Pennsylvania Governor
Tue, Nov 3 · Governor Josh Shapiro Democratic since Jan 2023
Stacy Lorraine Garrity 34.6Josh Shapiro 56.9
Average of 4 polls, Sep 15 to Oct 21, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated
Newest poll
Newest · ActiVote, field dates Oct 1 to Oct 21, released Oct 22, 400 likely votersPolls updated Oct 31, 9:30 a.m. ET, from VoteHub
Show all 3 candidates on the ballot
- Josh ShapiroIncumbentDemocraticwith Austin Davis
- Stacy Lorraine GarrityRepublicanwith Jason L Richey
- Kenneth V KrawchukLibertarianwith John C Thomas
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
Polls over time
18 polls, through Election Day Nov 3The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls updated Oct 31, 9:30 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.
The polls in this chart (18)
1 poll released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 53 to 61.5% (D) and 25 to 38.5% (R) (newest 5 polls on the chart)
18 of the 18 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.
| Pollster | Field dates | Released | Sample | Shapiro | Garrity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | Oct 1 to Oct 21 | Oct 22 | 400 likely voters | 61.5 | 38.5 |
| Z to A Research | Sep 28 to Oct 1 | Oct 9 | 630 likely voters | 53 | 34 |
| Bravo Group | Sep 16 to Sep 22 | Oct 2 | 624 registered voters | 55 | 28 |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Sep 15 to Sep 22 | Sep 24 | 615 likely voters | 58 | 38 |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Aug 17 to Aug 23 | Aug 27 | 501 registered voters | 50 | 25 |
| Bravo Group | Aug 18 to Aug 22 | Aug 29 | 711 likely voters | 56 | 25 |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Aug 17 to Aug 21 | Aug 26 | 760 likely voters | 55 | 39 |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Aug 17 to Aug 21 | Aug 26 | 760 registered voters | 54 | 37 |
| National Public Affairs | Jul 26 to Jul 30 | Aug 5 | 600 likely voters | 50 | 43 |
| Bravo Group | Jul 17 to Jul 24 | Jul 29 | 630 likely voters | 53 | 28 |
| Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | Jun 8 to Jun 14 | Jun 18 | 546 registered voters | 50 | 28 |
| MAD Global Strategy | Jun 9 to Jun 11 | Jul 1 | 600 likely voters | 48 | 31 |
| Bravo Group | May 20 to May 24 | Jun 1 | 684 likely voters | 53 | 29 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | Mar 18 to Mar 29 | Apr 27 | 700 likely voters | 58 | 36 |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Feb 18 to Mar 1 | Apr 27 | 834 registered voters | 48 | 28 |
| Quinnipiac University | Feb 19 to Feb 23 | Apr 27 | 836 registered voters | 55 | 37 |
| Quinnipiac University | Sep 25 to Sep 29 | Apr 27 | 1,579 registered voters | 55 | 39 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | Sep 22 to Sep 28 | Apr 27 | 700 likely voters | 54 | 36 |
Side by side
Left column: GarrityRight column: Shapiro
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeShapiroNo published score for Garrity
- Races
- None listed
- Won 5 of 5
- Years since first win
- Not available
- 4
- Age on Election Day
- 62
- 53
How these are counted
The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.
What changed in this race
Newest firstNEW POLLPennsylvania Governor
Pennsylvania Governor: Josh Shapiro 61.5, Stacy Garrity 38.5
ActiVote, Oct 1 to Oct 21, 400 likely voters
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Josh ShapiroIncumbentDemocraticwith Austin Davis
- Stacy Lorraine GarrityRepublicanwith Jason L Richey
- Kenneth V KrawchukLibertarianwith John C Thomas
Source: pavoterservices.pa.gov, dated Oct 28
Vote in Pennsylvania
Trouble voting? Election Protection hotline: 866-OUR-VOTE. A nonpartisan coalition of civil-rights and voting-rights groups, not a government service. 866ourvote.org
Official results for Pennsylvania
History (6 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 5,366,179
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
Governor, Pennsylvania, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticJosh ShapiroWon Democratic 3,031,13756.5% RepublicanDouglas V. Mastriano Republican 2,238,47741.7% LibertarianJonathan Matthew Hackenburg Libertarian 51,6111.0% GreenChristina Pk Digiulio Green 24,4360.5% OtherJoseph P. Soloski Keystone 20,5180.4% - Votes for listed candidates
- 5,012,625
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
Governor, Pennsylvania, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticTom WolfWon(incumbent) Democratic 2,895,65257.8% RepublicanScott R. Wagner Republican 2,039,88240.7% LibertarianKen Krawchuk Libertarian 49,2991.0% GreenPaul Glover Green 27,7920.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,495,866
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
Governor, Pennsylvania, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticTom WolfWon Democratic 1,920,35554.9% RepublicanTom Corbett Jr.(incumbent) Republican 1,575,51145.1% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,987,551
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
Governor, Pennsylvania, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanTom Corbett Jr.Won Republican 2,172,76354.5% DemocraticDan Onorato Democratic 1,814,78845.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 4,092,652
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
Governor, Pennsylvania, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticEd RendellWon(incumbent) Democratic 2,470,51760.4% RepublicanLynn Swann Republican 1,622,13539.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 3,581,989
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
Governor, Pennsylvania, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share DemocraticEd RendellWon Democratic 1,913,23553.4% RepublicanMike Fisher Republican 1,589,40844.4% LibertarianKen V. Krawchuk Libertarian 40,9231.1% GreenMichael Morrill Green 38,4231.1%
2002 to 2022: Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows), retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns; not an official source
Governor races before 2002 are not on file.
Data notes (14)
- Source priority per race: (1) a state election office's own certified results parsed in scripts/data/gov_results.py (NJ Division of Elections PDFs, Virginia Department of Elections, the Civera ElectionStats databases run by CT, VA, VT, CO, NY, NM and SC, the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, the NC State Board of Elections archive); (2) the open Cha/Kuriwaki/Snyder 'Candidates in American General Elections' file (Harvard Dataverse, CC0), which copies each state's statement of vote; (3) OpenElections county files and the 2020 Dataverse official-results tables, used only to add named candidates the Dataverse file omitted and to add the write-in count; (4) MEDSL precinct sums, used the same way and only when their Democratic and Republican totals agree with the Dataverse rows to 0.3 percent. Each race's source is listed in web/data/sources/gov-results.json.
- total is the sum of the candidate rows in the file, and pct is votes divided by that total, rounded to one decimal. Blank, void, over and under votes are never in total. Write-in votes are in total as a 'Write-ins' row (writein: true) wherever a source reports them: the official databases, OpenElections, and MEDSL precinct returns. The Dataverse file leaves write-ins out, so MEDSL's write-in sum is added when MEDSL's count for every named candidate equals the Dataverse count exactly (for example AK 2022, 784 write-ins, and AL 2022, 9,432, both matching the state's statement of vote). Each race's source ids are in the race's source and sourceAlso fields and in the gov-results-<st> entry of sources.json.
- 151 races not taken from a state's own results file have no write-in row. Either the state counted no write-ins, or the sources on file leave them out (MEDSL's precinct sums did not match every named candidate exactly, or MEDSL has no file for that year); where they were left out, total is short by the write-ins and pct can run slightly above the state's printed percentage: AK 2006, AK 2010, AK 2014, AL 2006, AL 2010, AL 2014, AL 2018, AR 2006, AR 2014, AR 2018, AR 2022, AZ 2002, AZ 2014, AZ 2022, CA 2014, CA 2018, CA 2022, DE 2008, DE 2012, DE 2016, DE 2020, DE 2024, GA 2014, GA 2018, HI 2006, HI 2010, HI 2014, HI 2018, HI 2022, IA 2006, IA 2010, IA 2014, ID 1998, ID 2006, ID 2010, ID 2022, IL 2010, IL 2014, IL 2018, IN 2004, IN 2008, IN 2012, IN 2016, IN 2020, KS 2006, KS 2010, KS 2014, KS 2018, KS 2022, KY 2007, KY 2011, KY 2015, KY 2019, LA 2007, LA 2011, LA 2015, LA 2019, LA 2023, MD 2006, MD 2014, MD 2022, ME 2006, ME 2010, ME 2014, ME 2022, MI 2006, MI 2010, MI 2014, MI 2022, MN 2006, MN 2010, MN 2014, MO 2020, MS 2007, MS 2011, MS 2015, MS 2019, MS 2023, MT 2000, MT 2004, MT 2008, MT 2012, MT 2016, MT 2020, MT 2024, ND 2008, NE 2006, NE 2010, NE 2014, NE 2018, NE 2022, NH 2008, NH 2010, NH 2012, NH 2014, NH 2024, NM 2010, NV 2006, NV 2010, NV 2014, NV 2018, NV 2022, OH 2014, OH 2018, OK 2006, OK 2010, OK 2014, OK 2018, OK 2022, OR 2006, OR 2010, OR 2014, OR 2018, OR 2022, PA 2002, PA 2006, PA 2010, PA 2014, PA 2018, PA 2022, RI 2006, RI 2010, RI 2014, SC 2006, SD 2006, SD 2010, SD 2014, SD 2018, SD 2022, TX 2014, TX 2018, TX 2022, UT 2008, UT 2010, UT 2012, UT 2020, WA 2008, WA 2012, WA 2016, WI 2006, WI 2010, WI 2014, WI 2018, WV 2008, WV 2011, WV 2012, WV 2016, WV 2020, WV 2024, WY 2002, WY 2006.
- party is D, R, I, L, G, O or N from the party label in the source; party_label keeps the source's wording. The Dataverse file prints short labels (Lbt, Grn, Const, DFL, NPA); those are expanded to Libertarian, Green, Constitution, Democratic-Farmer-Labor and No Party Affiliation. Fusion candidates (NY, CT, SC, and the Democratic-Progressive line in VT) are one candidate with all of their ballot lines added together.
- Names: the Dataverse file stores 'LAST, FIRST MIDDLE (NICKNAME), SUFFIX'; the display name uses the nickname when there is one (Josh Shapiro, Bob Riley) and otherwise the given names. All-caps source names were title-cased by rule and can be wrong for internal capitals (DiGiulio, DeWine). Official lists that print only surnames (NJ 1997; MA tickets from 2010 on) take the full name from the Dataverse row of the same race where the surname and party match, otherwise stay surname-only.
- incumbent is true or false only for races built from the Dataverse file (it carries an incumbency code; code 3, a governor who succeeded to the office, is treated as incumbent). It is null for official-source races and for candidates added from OpenElections or MEDSL.
- Louisiana uses an open primary with a runoff. One race per election is stored: the round that decided it (the October primary when someone won more than 50 percent, otherwise the November runoff, marked runoff:true). Exact dates for those rounds come from the Dataverse/official files where present and are set in the script otherwise (LA_DATES); check them before showing a date.
- Recall elections (Wisconsin June 2012, California September 2021) are not included. Only regular and special general elections for the office are stored; primaries and runoff primaries are not.
- scripts/data/federal_results.py, if it is re-run, rewrites every web/data/results/governor/{ST}.json to []. Run scripts/data/gov_results.py after it, or remove build_governor() from that script.
- PA: No governor general-election result in this file for 3 of 9 expected election years between 1990 and 2025: 1990, 1994, 1998. No open or official bulk source was found and parsed for them yet; they are gaps, not zeroes.
- 2018: minor-party counts differ slightly between the Dataverse file (kept) and OpenElections / the 2020 Dataverse tables; check against the official canvass: Ken Krawchuk 49,299 vs 49,229
- Candidate name is the sitting governor's officials-file spelling for 16 rows (the race's winner, same state, race within the governor's tenure, same surname and a compatible first name). Text encoding and casing are repaired by scripts/data/names.py.
- Governor races earlier than the first year listed are not loaded yet for 50 states (AK from 2006; AL from 2006; AR from 2002; AZ from 2002; CA from 2002; CO from 1990; CT from 1990; DE from 2008; FL from 1990; GA from 2002; HI from 2006; IA from 2002; ID from 1994; IL from 2006; IN from 2004; KS from 2006; KY from 2007; LA from 2007; MA from 1990; MD from 2006; ME from 2006; MI from 2006; MN from 2006; MO from 2008; MS from 2007; MT from 2000; NC from 1992; ND from 2008; NE from 2006; NH from 2006; NJ from 1993; NM from 2002; NV from 2006; NY from 1994; OH from 2002; OK from 2006; OR from 2006; PA from 2002; RI from 2006; SC from 2006; SD from 2006; TN from 2002; TX from 1994; UT from 2008; VA from 1993; VT from 1990; WA from 2008; WI from 2006; WV from 2000; WY from 2002). The sources on file start later; nothing was filled in from memory. Each governor page says so under History.
- 1 duplicate candidate rows merged: a 0-vote placeholder row beside the real row is dropped. governor/CO 2022 Paul Noël Fiorino
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). Governor of Pennsylvania. https://www.electionwrld.com/pa/governor. Retrieved October 31, 2026.
Sources
Sources: Wikidata SPARQL (governor position holders, party) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the Wikidata community (not an official source; to be cross-checked against official governor pages) from official returns, not an official source; 3 U.S.C. 1, 2 U.S.C. 1 and 7: Election Day, first Tuesday after the first Monday in November (US government work, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows) (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns, not an official source; Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 4.1 (2024 governor rows) (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder (Harvard Dataverse) from official returns, not an official source; OpenElections state results repositories (github.com/openelections/openelections-data-<st>) (No license is stated in the OpenElections repositories. OpenElections says its data is free for anyone to use. Written permission requested (docs/PERMISSION-REQUESTS.md). No CC0 claim.), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by OpenElections volunteers from official returns, not an official source.
DataState data (JSON)Sources: Cha, Kuriwaki and Snyder, Candidates in American General Elections, version 3.1 (2006-2023 governor rows), VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), DIME (ODC-BY), Photo creditsData as of Oct 30, 2026 (candidate list Oct 28, 2026)