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WI-1

Wisconsin District 1

Tue, Nov 3 · Seat held by Bryan Steil Republican since Jan 2019

Mitchell BermanDemocratic

Mitchell Berman 48.0Bryan Steil 47.5

Average of 2 polls, Sep 21 to Oct 1, from VoteHub · how it’s calculated

Newest poll

2 are partisan pollsNewest · Impact Research, field dates Sep 28 to Oct 1, released Oct 4, 500 likely voters, partisan (D), per VoteHubPoll sponsored by House Majority PACPolls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub

Bryan SteilRepublican · IncumbentAge 45 · 7 years in Congress

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Wisconsin District 1: Mitchell Berman vs Bryan Steil

Preview card: Wisconsin District 1: Mitchell Berman vs Bryan Steil

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Last election
Bryan Steil (Republican) won by 10.2 points, 2024
Margin since 2022
1.3 points toward Republicans
On the 2026 ballot
2 candidates

All Wisconsin districts

Polls over time

2 polls, through Election Day Nov 3
40%50%60%Oct 2026NovNov 3DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department, Sep 21 to Sep 23: Berman 48Impact Research, Sep 28 to Oct 1: Berman 48DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department, Sep 21 to Sep 23: Steil 48Impact Research, Sep 28 to Oct 1: Steil 47Berman48.0Steil47.5

The thick line is the 7-week average, not a forecast. How it’s calculated. All polls. Polls fetched Oct 30, 2:02 a.m. ET, from VoteHub.

The polls in this chart (2)

No polls released in the last 14 days · latest results range from 48% (D) and 47 to 48% (R) (newest 2 polls on the chart)

2 of the 2 polls for this race, each with both names, plotted on the field end date.

Polls shown in the chart, newest field end date first, with the day each was released
PollsterField datesReleasedSampleBermanSteil
Impact ResearchSep 28 to Oct 1Oct 4500 likely voters4847
DCCC Targeting and Analytics DepartmentSep 21 to Sep 23Sep 29495 likely voters4848

Side by side

Left column: BermanRight column: Steil

Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
$2.0M
$6.4M
Cash on hand
$352K
$2.2M
Donor-based spectrum
LiberalCentristConservativeSteilNo published score for Berman
Races won and lost
None on file
4-0
Years since first win on file
Not available
7
Age on Election Day
Not available
45

Money: FEC bulk data, through Oct 14. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.

How these are counted

Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. Berman: $1,977,099 received, $351,558 cash on hand. Steil: $6,393,553 received, $2,243,605 cash on hand. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Wins and losses count the races in our results files, the same as each profile.

More about this race

Candidates on the ballot

Source: elections.wi.gov, dated Oct 6

Shift since 2022: 1.3 points toward Republicans (Republican by 8.9 in 2022, Republican by 10.2 in 2024).

All Wisconsin districts

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2024 US House margin
  • D 15+ pts
  • D 5 to 15 pts
  • D under 5 pts
  • R under 5 pts
  • R 5 to 15 pts
  • R 15+ pts
  • Other winner
  • No data
Show these districts as a list (8)
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Official results for Wisconsin

History (25 elections for this seat)

1976 to 2024: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026. Compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns; not an official source

District numbers are reused after each redistricting, so rows on older lines cover different territory than today's Wisconsin District 1.

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Cite this page

Election Wrld. (2026). Wisconsin District 1, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/wi/congress/1. Retrieved October 30, 2026.

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Sources

Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024 (CC0 1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL) from official returns, not an official source; Census TIGERweb Legislative MapServer (120th CDs layer 0, 119th CDs layer 4, 2026 SLD upper layer 1 and lower layer 2) (US Census Bureau, public domain), retrieved Oct 28, 2026; unitedstates/congress-legislators (current) (CC0-1.0), retrieved Oct 28, 2026, compiled by the @unitedstates project volunteers (rosters from official congressional sources) from official returns, not an official source.

Make your pick in the map maker

DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, VoteHub polls (CC BY 4.0), FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain), Photo creditsData as of Oct 28, 2026