TX-31
Texas District 31
Tue, Nov 3 · Sitting member, elected on the old lines John R. Carter Republican since Jan 2003
John R. CarterRepublican · IncumbentAge 84 · 23 years in CongressJustin EarlyDemocratic
No published poll names both candidates.District lines changed for 2026. Results from the old lines aren't shown.
Show all 3 candidates on the ballot
- Justin EarlyDemocratic
- John R. CarterIncumbentRepublican
- Greg StokerGreen
Showing major-party nominees, incumbents and candidates with 5%+ in the latest poll or comparable fundraising.
- Lines for 2026
- Redrawn. 27.2% of residents were in a different district in 2024
- On the 2026 ballot
- 3 candidates
Side by side
Carter left, Early right- Total receipts, 2025-2026 cycle, through Oct 14
- $1.5M
- $292K
- Cash on hand
- $159K
- $21K
- Donor-based spectrum
- LiberalCentristConservativeCarterNo published score for Early
- Record
- 12-0
- None on file
- Years in politics
- 23
- Not available
- Age on Election Day
- 84
- Not available
John R. Carter on fec.gov. Justin Early on fec.gov. One or more are matched to the FEC by name, party and seat, so a total could belong to someone else.
How these are counted
Total receipts line of each candidate’s principal campaign committee, 2025-2026 cycle. Other sites may show career, six-year or all-committee totals, which differ. The spectrum is a published research score, not our rating. How this works. Record is wins and losses in the races in our results files, the same count as each profile.
More about this race
Candidates on the ballot
- Justin EarlyDemocratic
- John R. CarterIncumbentRepublican
- Greg StokerGreen
Source: sos.state.tx.us (PDF), dated Aug 28
All Texas districts
Select a shape for details. Arrow keys move between shapes.
2024 US House margin
- D 15+ pts
- D 5 to 15 pts
- D under 5 pts
- R under 5 pts
- R 5 to 15 pts
- R 15+ pts
- Other winner
- No data
Show these districts as a list (38)
- Texas District 1· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 2· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
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- Texas District 18· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 19· Jodey C. Arrington (R), Republican by 70.4 points, 2024
- Texas District 20· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
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- Texas District 29· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 30· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 31· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 32· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 33· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 34· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 35· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 36· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 37· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
- Texas District 38· New lines for 2026, old result not shown
Map settings
Vote in Texas
- Register
- Registration, polling place, sample ballot lookup, election office
- Mail ballot status
- ID rules
Trouble voting? Election Protection hotline: 866-OUR-VOTE. A nonpartisan coalition of civil-rights and voting-rights groups, not a government service. 866ourvote.org
History (12 elections for this seat)
- Votes for listed candidates
- 355,557
- Election day
- November 5, 2024
- District map
- Older district map (2022 to 2025)
US House, Texas District 31, 2024, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 229,08764.4% DemocraticStuart Whitlow Democratic 126,47035.6% - Votes for listed candidates
- 183,185
- Election day
- November 8, 2022
- District map
- Older district map (2022 to 2025)
US House, Texas District 31, 2022, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 183,185100.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 398,057
- Election day
- November 3, 2020
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Texas District 31, 2020, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 212,69553.4% DemocraticDonna Imam Democratic 176,29344.3% LibertarianClark Patterson Libertarian 8,9222.2% Jonathan Scott Write-in 1470.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 286,007
- Election day
- November 6, 2018
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Texas District 31, 2018, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 144,68050.6% DemocraticMary Jennings "MJ" Hegar Democratic 136,36247.7% LibertarianJason Hope Libertarian 4,9651.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 284,588
- Election day
- November 8, 2016
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Texas District 31, 2016, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 166,06058.4% DemocraticMike Clark Democratic 103,85236.5% LibertarianScott Ballard Libertarian 14,6765.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 143,028
- Election day
- November 4, 2014
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Texas District 31, 2014, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 91,60764.0% DemocraticLouie Minor Democratic 45,71532.0% LibertarianScott J Ballard Libertarian 5,7064.0% - Votes for listed candidates
- 237,187
- Election day
- November 6, 2012
- District map
- Older district map (2012 to 2020)
US House, Texas District 31, 2012, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 145,34861.3% DemocraticStephen M Wyman Democratic 82,97735.0% LibertarianEthan Garofolo Libertarian 8,8623.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 153,119
- Election day
- November 2, 2010
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Texas District 31, 2010, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 126,38482.5% LibertarianBill Oliver Libertarian 26,73517.5% - Votes for listed candidates
- 291,304
- Election day
- November 4, 2008
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Texas District 31, 2008, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 175,56360.3% DemocraticBrian P Ruiz Democratic 106,55936.6% LibertarianBarry N Cooper Libertarian 9,1823.2% - Votes for listed candidates
- 155,383
- Election day
- November 7, 2006
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Texas District 31, 2006, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 90,86958.5% DemocraticMary Beth Harrell Democratic 60,29338.8% LibertarianMatt McAdoo Libertarian 4,2212.7% - Votes for listed candidates
- 247,427
- Election day
- November 2, 2004
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Texas District 31, 2004, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 160,24764.8% DemocraticJon Porter Democratic 80,29232.5% LibertarianCeleste Adams Libertarian 6,8882.8% - Votes for listed candidates
- 161,484
- Election day
- November 5, 2002
- District map
- Older district map (2002 to 2010)
US House, Texas District 31, 2002, every candidate Candidate Party Votes and share Share RepublicanJohn R. CarterWon Republican 111,55669.1% DemocraticDavid Bagley Democratic 44,18327.4% LibertarianClark Simmons Libertarian 2,0371.3% GreenJohn S Petersen Green 1,9921.2% IndependentR C Crawford Independent 1,7161.1%
All rows: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, retrieved Oct 28, 2026
Texas District 31 was redrawn for 2026, so every row here ran on older lines and covers different territory. The map in force, by state
Download and cite
Cite this page
Election Wrld. (2026). Texas District 31, US House results. https://www.electionwrld.com/tx/congress/31. Retrieved October 30, 2026.
Embed this seat
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<p style="font-size:13px">Data: <a href="https://www.electionwrld.com">Election Wrld</a>, CC BY 4.0</p>Paste this into any web page. It shows the seat, its last result and the next election.
Sources
Sources
- Used for
- web/data/results/house/{ST}.json. The Dataverse API refuses this file behind a guestbook, so the identical file was taken from two public GitHub copies (Hackquantumcpp/snoutcounter-midterms-2026-model data/1976-2024-house.csv and sta199-f26/sta199-f26.github.io _data/gerrymander/1976-2024-house.tab), which are byte-identical to each other and match the md5 a9566ac393913a1af343284e837c17bb that Dataverse lists for dataset version 15.0 (2026-03-09). sha256 76eec42483ee9f0fc5cf6e377442c783d1ae6eefa929729fd6561a69bab47f2a.
- License
- CC0 1.0
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2
- Used for
- cd.topo.json, sld/*.topo.json
- License
- US Census Bureau, public domain
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Legislative/MapServer
- Used for
- web/data/officials/congress.json (name, party, bioguide, official site, service start) and web/data/people (birth year, committees, social media handles and profile links; links only, nothing copied from the platforms). As-of: the files saved in data/raw/people on 2026-10-29.
- License
- CC0-1.0
- Retrieved
- October 28, 2026
- Link
- https://unitedstates.github.io/congress-legislators/legislators-current.json
DataState data (JSON)Sources: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2024, FEC, DIME (ODC-BY), Portraits: unitedstates/images (public domain)Data as of Oct 28, 2026